2026–27 forecast · Updated
The best publicly available win projections
Projected wins and playoff odds for every NBA team.
Preseason predictionsRangeRange of outcomesEvery simulated season for this team. The bright middle is where 80% of seasons land; the dot is the projection.ProjectionThe dot marks the projected wins.Pick a team for its outlook
Tap a team for its outlook#Projected finish across the league, ordered by projected wins.TeamClick a team to open its full outlook: odds, range of outcomes, team profile and rotation.WinsProjected regular-season wins, adding up each game’s win chance across the full 82-game schedule.±SDHow far a typical season lands from the projection, in wins (one standard deviation). Bigger means a wider range.PlayoffsChance to reach the 16-team playoffs, directly or through the simulated play-in.
- Oklahoma City Thunder: 59.5 projected wins, plus or minus 6.4; net rating +8.8 points per game; middle 80% 51 to 68 wins; >99% playoff odds
- Boston Celtics: 57.1 projected wins, plus or minus 6.5; net rating +7.5 points per game; middle 80% 49 to 65 wins; 99% playoff odds
- San Antonio Spurs: 53.1 projected wins, plus or minus 7.0; net rating +5.5 points per game; middle 80% 44 to 62 wins; 96% playoff odds
- Houston Rockets: 52.3 projected wins, plus or minus 6.9; net rating +5.2 points per game; middle 80% 43 to 61 wins; 96% playoff odds
- Toronto Raptors: 47.2 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating +2.8 points per game; middle 80% 38 to 57 wins; 82% playoff odds
- Denver Nuggets: 47.1 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating +2.7 points per game; middle 80% 38 to 57 wins; 84% playoff odds
- Detroit Pistons: 46.1 projected wins, plus or minus 7.1; net rating +2.3 points per game; middle 80% 37 to 55 wins; 78% playoff odds
- New York Knicks: 45.8 projected wins, plus or minus 7.1; net rating +2.1 points per game; middle 80% 37 to 55 wins; 79% playoff odds
- Portland Trail Blazers: 44.9 projected wins, plus or minus 7.9; net rating +1.8 points per game; middle 80% 35 to 55 wins; 75% playoff odds
- Atlanta Hawks: 43.4 projected wins, plus or minus 7.2; net rating +1.1 points per game; middle 80% 34 to 53 wins; 68% playoff odds
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 43.1 projected wins, plus or minus 7.2; net rating +0.9 points per game; middle 80% 34 to 52 wins; 65% playoff odds
- Orlando Magic: 42.9 projected wins, plus or minus 7.9; net rating +0.9 points per game; middle 80% 33 to 53 wins; 64% playoff odds
- Miami Heat: 42.5 projected wins, plus or minus 7.4; net rating +0.7 points per game; middle 80% 33 to 52 wins; 63% playoff odds
- Philadelphia 76ers: 42.5 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating +0.7 points per game; middle 80% 33 to 52 wins; 63% playoff odds
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 42.2 projected wins, plus or minus 7.4; net rating +0.5 points per game; middle 80% 33 to 52 wins; 65% playoff odds
- Golden State Warriors: 41.2 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating +0.1 points per game; middle 80% 32 to 50 wins; 59% playoff odds
- Indiana Pacers: 40.9 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating −0.1 points per game; middle 80% 32 to 50 wins; 54% playoff odds
- Los Angeles Lakers: 39.1 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating −0.9 points per game; middle 80% 30 to 49 wins; 48% playoff odds
- Phoenix Suns: 38.2 projected wins, plus or minus 7.1; net rating −1.2 points per game; middle 80% 29 to 48 wins; 42% playoff odds
- Charlotte Hornets: 37.4 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating −1.6 points per game; middle 80% 28 to 47 wins; 36% playoff odds
- Memphis Grizzlies: 37.3 projected wins, plus or minus 7.5; net rating −1.7 points per game; middle 80% 28 to 47 wins; 39% playoff odds
- Dallas Mavericks: 36.4 projected wins, plus or minus 7.9; net rating −2.1 points per game; middle 80% 26 to 47 wins; 35% playoff odds
- Chicago Bulls: 34.0 projected wins, plus or minus 7.8; net rating −3.2 points per game; middle 80% 24 to 44 wins; 22% playoff odds
- Utah Jazz: 32.8 projected wins, plus or minus 7.3; net rating −3.8 points per game; middle 80% 23 to 42 wins; 18% playoff odds
- New Orleans Pelicans: 32.7 projected wins, plus or minus 7.6; net rating −3.8 points per game; middle 80% 23 to 43 wins; 20% playoff odds
- LA Clippers: 32.4 projected wins, plus or minus 7.1; net rating −3.9 points per game; middle 80% 23 to 41 wins; 16% playoff odds
- Brooklyn Nets: 30.4 projected wins, plus or minus 6.9; net rating −4.8 points per game; middle 80% 22 to 40 wins; 9% playoff odds
- Milwaukee Bucks: 29.9 projected wins, plus or minus 7.5; net rating −5.1 points per game; middle 80% 20 to 40 wins; 11% playoff odds
- Washington Wizards: 29.2 projected wins, plus or minus 7.1; net rating −5.4 points per game; middle 80% 20 to 39 wins; 8% playoff odds
- Sacramento Kings: 28.4 projected wins, plus or minus 6.9; net rating −5.8 points per game; middle 80% 20 to 37 wins; 7% playoff odds
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