Ausar Thompson 2026–27 projection
Detroit PistonsG-FAge 23.6Current age in years, from his birth date.
+2.91
+1.60+4.18ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.00Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,758
803–2,443Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
68
27–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
75%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+3.12Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+2.85From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
23–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 22 | 1,894 | 73 | +3.15 | +3.15 | +3.33 |
| 2024–25 | 21 | 1,328 | 59 | +1.35 | +1.75 | +2.42 |
| 2023–24 | 20 | 1,583 | 63 | −0.04 | −0.73 | −1.00 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 5 in 2023
Pistons teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Cade CunninghamGImpact +3.18Estimated minutes 2,076
- Jalen DurenCImpact +2.00Estimated minutes 1,785
- John CollinsF-CImpact −0.63Estimated minutes 1,778
- Duncan RobinsonFImpact −0.53Estimated minutes 1,714
- Isaiah JoeGImpact +0.83Estimated minutes 1,478
- Ronald Holland IIFImpact −0.29Estimated minutes 1,414
- Daniss JenkinsGImpact −0.33Estimated minutes 1,403
- Paul ReedFImpact +1.22Estimated minutes 1,261
- Taurean PrinceFImpact −3.00Estimated minutes 1,216
- Kevin HuerterG-FImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 1,176
›9 more on the roster
- Javonte GreenGImpact −0.73Estimated minutes 890
- Ebuka OkorieGImpact −2.20Estimated minutes 795
- Chaz LanierGImpact −2.24Estimated minutes 317
- Elijah HarklessGImpact −0.83Estimated minutes 168
- Isaac JonesFImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 162
- Ugonna OnyensoCImpact −1.46Estimated minutes 158
- Tolu SmithFImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 87
- John UkomaduFImpact −2.00Estimated minutes 44
- Brice WilliamsG-FImpact −1.97Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).