Jaden McDaniels 2026–27 projection
Minnesota TimberwolvesFAge 26.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.87
−0.28+2.00ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.90Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.Low error barsA narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.
A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.12,767 career NBA minutes · 2,317 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,240
1,114–2,867Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
74
32–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
30.1
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
77%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.34Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.02From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−5
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
20–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 25 | 2,317 | 73 | −0.04 | +1.01 | +0.95 |
| 2024–25 | 24 | 2,614 | 82 | +1.07 | +1.16 | +0.46 |
| 2023–24 | 23 | 2,105 | 72 | +0.86 | −0.47 | −0.57 |
| 2022–23 | 22 | 2,417 | 79 | +0.39 | −0.33 | +0.35 |
| 2021–22 | 21 | 1,803 | 70 | +0.36 | −2.26 | −1.47 |
| 2020–21 | 20 | 1,511 | 63 | −3.80 | −3.11 | −2.44 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Thunder on November 20, 2020
Timberwolves teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Anthony EdwardsGImpact +1.78Estimated minutes 2,338
- Rudy GobertCImpact +1.75Estimated minutes 2,083
- Ayo DosunmuGImpact −1.42Estimated minutes 2,004
- LaMelo BallGImpact +3.94Estimated minutes 1,885
- Jonathan KumingaFImpact +0.19Estimated minutes 1,858
- Terrence Shannon JrG-FImpact −2.00Estimated minutes 1,422
- Joan BeringerFImpact −1.53Estimated minutes 1,223
- Bones HylandGImpact −0.28Estimated minutes 1,158
- Jaylen ClarkGImpact −0.85Estimated minutes 1,117
- Trey LylesFImpact −1.60Estimated minutes 760
›10 more on the roster
- Cody WilliamsFImpact −4.00Estimated minutes 610
- Isaiah EvansFImpact −2.29Estimated minutes 354
- Zyon PullinGImpact −2.91Estimated minutes 123
- Enrique FreemanFImpact −3.51Estimated minutes 109
- Antonio ReevesGImpact −2.89Estimated minutes 89
- Drew TimmeFImpact −3.03Estimated minutes 89
- KJ MartinFImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 89
- Rocco ZikarskyCImpact −3.27Estimated minutes 84
- Norchad OmierFImpact −2.71Estimated minutes 45
- Donte DiVincenzoGImpact +0.72Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).