Jake Stephens 2026–27 projection
Milwaukee BucksCAge 26.9Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.88
−3.24−0.55ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.04Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
44
0–180Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
8
0–28Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
5.5
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
65%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1.97Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.85From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
Undrafted
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
4%
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed September 17, 2026
Bucks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Ryan RollinsGImpact +0.12Estimated minutes 2,009
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.GImpact −0.62Estimated minutes 1,834
- Tyler HerroGImpact +1.22Estimated minutes 1,767
- Kel'el WareCImpact +0.11Estimated minutes 1,741
- Myles TurnerC-FImpact −0.46Estimated minutes 1,696
- Brayden BurriesGImpact −1.77Estimated minutes 1,620
- AJ GreenGImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 1,561
- Kyle KuzmaFImpact −3.33Estimated minutes 1,452
- Kevin Porter Jr.G-FImpact −0.14Estimated minutes 1,049
- Kasparas JakučionisGImpact −0.06Estimated minutes 1,038
›10 more on the roster
- Ousmane DiengFImpact −1.53Estimated minutes 863
- Jericho SimsCImpact −3.12Estimated minutes 828
- Nate AmentFImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 721
- Gary Trent Jr.GImpact −1.55Estimated minutes 673
- Bogoljub MarkovićFImpact −2.19Estimated minutes 291
- Caris LeVertGImpact −1.62Estimated minutes 203
- Cormac RyanGImpact −2.51Estimated minutes 120
- Kam JonesGImpact −3.23Estimated minutes 117
- Pete NanceFImpact −3.36Estimated minutes 53
- John Butler Jr.FImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).