Jaylen Brown 2026–27 projection
Philadelphia 76ersG-FAge 29.9Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.75
−0.34+1.82ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.84Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.Low error barsA narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.
A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.20,909 career NBA minutes · 2,443 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,236
920–2,985Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
70
25–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
31.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
75%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.18Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.01From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
16–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 28 | 2,443 | 71 | −0.16 | +1.29 | +2.21 |
| 2024–25 | 27 | 2,159 | 63 | +1.07 | +1.89 | +1.09 |
| 2023–24 | 26 | 2,343 | 70 | +1.04 | +1.60 | +2.50 |
| 2022–23 | 25 | 2,405 | 67 | −0.03 | +1.00 | +2.46 |
| 2021–22 | 24 | 2,220 | 66 | +1.33 | +1.61 | +2.48 |
| 2020–21 | 23 | 1,999 | 58 | −0.41 | +1.55 | +2.31 |
| 2019–20 | 22 | 1,934 | 57 | −0.05 | +1.61 | +1.80 |
| 2018–19 | 21 | 1,913 | 74 | −1.04 | −0.85 | −0.54 |
| 2017–18 | 20 | 2,152 | 70 | −0.68 | +1.32 | +1.90 |
| 2016–17 | 19 | 1,341 | 78 | −4.78 | −3.52 | −2.89 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Celtics on July 6, 2026
76ers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Tyrese MaxeyGImpact +1.66Estimated minutes 2,374
- VJ EdgecombeGImpact +1.34Estimated minutes 2,254
- LeBron JamesFImpact +0.92Estimated minutes 1,842
- Anfernee SimonsGImpact −0.54Estimated minutes 1,501
- Joel EmbiidC-FImpact +3.73Estimated minutes 1,471
- Dominick BarlowFImpact −1.14Estimated minutes 1,374
- Dean WadeF-CImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 1,369
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeGImpact −1.07Estimated minutes 1,235
- Adem BonaFImpact −1.60Estimated minutes 1,183
- Justin EdwardsFImpact −2.32Estimated minutes 803
›10 more on the roster
- Labaron PhilonGImpact −1.97Estimated minutes 746
- Ariel HukportiCImpact −3.31Estimated minutes 540
- Jabari WalkerFImpact −1.71Estimated minutes 335
- Rayan RupertG-FImpact −3.58Estimated minutes 101
- Dillon JonesFImpact −2.94Estimated minutes 88
- Tacko FallCImpact −3.92Estimated minutes 88
- Caleb LoveGImpact −2.56Estimated minutes 52
- Jameer Nelson Jr.GImpact −1.99Estimated minutes 44
- Saint ThomasFImpact −2.07Estimated minutes 44
- Duke MilesGImpact −1.83Estimated minutes 0
Mentioned in
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).