Karim Lopez 2026–27 projection
Memphis GrizzliesFAge 19.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.21
−3.66−0.73ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.13Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
254
3–589Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
22
0–45Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
11.5
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
66%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.74Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−2.06From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 21
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
3%
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Pistons on June 24, 2026
Grizzlies teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Cameron BoozerFImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,985
- Cedric CowardGImpact +1.06Estimated minutes 1,802
- Jaylen WellsFImpact +0.57Estimated minutes 1,775
- Jerami GrantFImpact −1.87Estimated minutes 1,602
- Ty JeromeG-FImpact +0.94Estimated minutes 1,512
- Zach EdeyCImpact +0.89Estimated minutes 1,506
- Isaiah StewartF-CImpact −1.28Estimated minutes 1,454
- Scotty Pippen Jr.GImpact +0.14Estimated minutes 1,238
- Cam SpencerGImpact −0.27Estimated minutes 1,220
- Quinten PostCImpact −0.45Estimated minutes 979
›10 more on the roster
- GG JacksonFImpact −0.54Estimated minutes 928
- Walter Clayton Jr.GImpact −3.08Estimated minutes 833
- Olivier-Maxence ProsperFImpact −1.24Estimated minutes 798
- Taylor HendricksFImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 650
- Javon SmallGImpact −0.43Estimated minutes 428
- Micah PeavyG-FImpact −2.03Estimated minutes 298
- Jahmai MashackGImpact −4.87Estimated minutes 147
- Carson CooperImpact −1.93Estimated minutes 115
- Jordan HawkinsGImpact −2.98Estimated minutes 104
- Kris MurrayFImpact −1.61Estimated minutes 52
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).