Lauri Markkanen 2026–27 projection
Utah JazzF-CAge 29.3Current age in years, from his birth date.
+2.33
+1.15+3.52ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.94Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,108
1,338–2,782Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
67
38–77Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
31.6
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
83%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+1.61Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+2.54From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
17–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 28 | 1,443 | 42 | +2.25 | +3.65 | +3.78 |
| 2024–25 | 27 | 1,476 | 47 | +1.43 | +1.91 | +1.24 |
| 2023–24 | 26 | 1,820 | 55 | +1.87 | +3.28 | +3.81 |
| 2022–23 | 25 | 2,270 | 66 | +1.50 | +4.13 | +4.59 |
| 2021–22 | 24 | 1,878 | 61 | +0.15 | +1.88 | +1.56 |
| 2020–21 | 23 | 1,317 | 51 | −2.28 | −0.85 | −0.21 |
| 2019–20 | 22 | 1,492 | 50 | −0.99 | +0.41 | +0.88 |
| 2018–19 | 21 | 1,682 | 52 | −1.76 | +0.27 | +0.41 |
| 2017–18 | 20 | 2,020 | 68 | −3.93 | −0.40 | +0.42 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical right-hip impingement. Participating in media-day preparation; formal clearance not verified.
- Injury date
- March 2026
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Cavaliers on September 3, 2022
Jazz teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Keyonte GeorgeGImpact −1.30Estimated minutes 2,145
- Jaren Jackson Jr.F-CImpact +1.45Estimated minutes 2,017
- Darryn PetersonGImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 1,987
- Ace BaileyFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 1,904
- Jusuf NurkićCImpact +0.01Estimated minutes 1,506
- Isaiah CollierGImpact −2.93Estimated minutes 1,303
- Kyle FilipowskiCImpact −0.37Estimated minutes 1,161
- Jaxson HayesC-FImpact −0.56Estimated minutes 1,116
- Brice SensabaughFImpact −1.46Estimated minutes 1,101
- Josh GreenGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 1,095
›10 more on the roster
- Josh OkogieGImpact −0.39Estimated minutes 885
- Svi MykhailiukG-FImpact −1.02Estimated minutes 665
- Mo BambaCImpact −1.55Estimated minutes 161
- Blake HinsonFImpact −1.60Estimated minutes 123
- Trey AlexanderGImpact −2.96Estimated minutes 108
- Tamar BatesGImpact −2.37Estimated minutes 105
- Harrison IngramFImpact −3.73Estimated minutes 55
- Jaelen HouseGImpact −1.97Estimated minutes 45
- Jonas AidooCImpact −1.87Estimated minutes 45
- Terrell Brown Jr.GImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 45
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).