Nick Smith Jr. 2026–27 projection
Not on a current rosterAge 22.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
No teamNot on a current NBA roster, so no minutes in this forecast.−3.78
−5.02−2.50ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.97Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Not on a current NBA roster, so no minutes in this forecast.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−3.21Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−3.94From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−8
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
23–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21 | 375 | 30 | −3.73 | −4.46 | −2.65 |
| 2024–25 | 20 | 1,369 | 60 | −6.23 | −5.17 | −5.17 |
| 2023–24 | 19 | 729 | 51 | −4.31 | −5.66 | −5.37 |
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).