Brayden Burries 2026–27 projection
Milwaukee BucksGAge 21.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.77
−3.25−0.24ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.18Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,620
882–2,256Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
72
35–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
22.6
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
78%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.38Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.59From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 10
College
Arizona
2025–26 · 39 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
7%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard | 2017–18 | 12 | −1.37 |
| Ben McLemore | 2013–14 | 7 | −3.01 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 2018–19 | 17 | −1.93 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 10 in 2026
Bucks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Ryan RollinsGImpact +0.12Estimated minutes 2,009
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.GImpact −0.62Estimated minutes 1,834
- Tyler HerroGImpact +1.22Estimated minutes 1,767
- Kel'el WareCImpact +0.11Estimated minutes 1,741
- Myles TurnerC-FImpact −0.46Estimated minutes 1,696
- AJ GreenGImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 1,561
- Kyle KuzmaFImpact −3.33Estimated minutes 1,452
- Kevin Porter Jr.G-FImpact −0.14Estimated minutes 1,049
- Kasparas JakučionisGImpact −0.06Estimated minutes 1,038
- Ousmane DiengFImpact −1.53Estimated minutes 863
›10 more on the roster
- Jericho SimsCImpact −3.12Estimated minutes 828
- Nate AmentFImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 721
- Gary Trent Jr.GImpact −1.55Estimated minutes 673
- Bogoljub MarkovićFImpact −2.19Estimated minutes 291
- Caris LeVertGImpact −1.62Estimated minutes 203
- Cormac RyanGImpact −2.51Estimated minutes 120
- Kam JonesGImpact −3.23Estimated minutes 117
- Pete NanceFImpact −3.36Estimated minutes 53
- Jake StephensCImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
- John Butler Jr.FImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).