Tyler Herro 2026–27 projection
Milwaukee BucksGAge 26.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.22
−0.02+2.48ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.97Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,767
1,120–2,441Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
61
34–73Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
28.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
83%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.09Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.53From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
19–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 25 | 1,032 | 33 | −0.82 | +1.07 | +0.93 |
| 2024–25 | 24 | 2,725 | 77 | +0.10 | +1.88 | +3.04 |
| 2023–24 | 23 | 1,407 | 42 | −1.09 | +1.05 | +1.54 |
| 2022–23 | 22 | 2,336 | 67 | −0.69 | −0.44 | +0.82 |
| 2021–22 | 21 | 2,151 | 66 | −2.36 | −1.71 | +0.43 |
| 2020–21 | 20 | 1,635 | 54 | −2.11 | −2.48 | −1.90 |
| 2019–20 | 19 | 1,508 | 55 | −3.90 | −2.11 | −2.01 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical left-ankle surgery; right-foot soreness. Played in April 2026; fresh individualized camp clearance not verified.
- Injury date
- September 19, 2025
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Heat on July 6, 2026
Bucks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Ryan RollinsGImpact +0.12Estimated minutes 2,009
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.GImpact −0.62Estimated minutes 1,834
- Kel'el WareCImpact +0.11Estimated minutes 1,741
- Myles TurnerC-FImpact −0.46Estimated minutes 1,696
- Brayden BurriesGImpact −1.77Estimated minutes 1,620
- AJ GreenGImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 1,561
- Kyle KuzmaFImpact −3.33Estimated minutes 1,452
- Kevin Porter Jr.G-FImpact −0.14Estimated minutes 1,049
- Kasparas JakučionisGImpact −0.06Estimated minutes 1,038
- Ousmane DiengFImpact −1.53Estimated minutes 863
›10 more on the roster
- Jericho SimsCImpact −3.12Estimated minutes 828
- Nate AmentFImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 721
- Gary Trent Jr.GImpact −1.55Estimated minutes 673
- Bogoljub MarkovićFImpact −2.19Estimated minutes 291
- Caris LeVertGImpact −1.62Estimated minutes 203
- Cormac RyanGImpact −2.51Estimated minutes 120
- Kam JonesGImpact −3.23Estimated minutes 117
- Pete NanceFImpact −3.36Estimated minutes 53
- Jake StephensCImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
- John Butler Jr.FImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).