Damian Lillard 2026–27 projection
Portland Trail BlazersGAge 36.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.13
−0.46+2.73ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.25Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.29,443 career NBA minutes · 0 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,735
1,113–2,401Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
60
34–73Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
28.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
83%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.35Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.54From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
+8
13–1414–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 35 | 0 | – | – | +2.13 | – |
| 2024–25 | 34 | 2,093 | 58 | +0.29 | +2.64 | +3.16 |
| 2023–24 | 33 | 2,578 | 73 | +0.63 | +3.98 | +3.96 |
| 2022–23 | 32 | 2,107 | 58 | +1.25 | +6.22 | +6.29 |
| 2021–22 | 31 | 1,056 | 29 | +1.03 | +3.72 | +1.88 |
| 2020–21 | 30 | 2,398 | 67 | +1.83 | +5.82 | +5.47 |
| 2019–20 | 29 | 2,474 | 66 | +1.42 | +4.90 | +5.48 |
| 2018–19 | 28 | 2,838 | 80 | +3.54 | +4.46 | +5.37 |
| 2017–18 | 27 | 2,670 | 73 | +2.66 | +4.49 | +5.98 |
| 2016–17 | 26 | 2,694 | 75 | +1.46 | +3.24 | +3.95 |
| 2015–16 | 25 | 2,676 | 75 | +0.59 | +1.99 | +2.57 |
| 2014–15 | 24 | 2,925 | 82 | +1.23 | +1.87 | +3.39 |
| 2013–14 | 23 | 2,937 | 82 | +2.72 | +1.37 | +2.36 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Left Achilles rupture. Expected return after entire 2025-26 season missed.
- Injury date
- April 27, 2025
- Early-return limitAssumed minutes-per-game limit for the first 5–10 games back. Our judgment, not a team announcement.
- About 26 minutes a game
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed July 19, 2025
Trail Blazers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Toumani CamaraFImpact +0.43Estimated minutes 2,324
- Deni AvdijaFImpact +1.66Estimated minutes 2,228
- Donovan ClinganCImpact +2.41Estimated minutes 1,960
- Jrue HolidayGImpact +1.12Estimated minutes 1,821
- Ja MorantGImpact +2.10Estimated minutes 1,757
- Scoot HendersonGImpact −1.39Estimated minutes 1,746
- Sidy CissokoGImpact −1.56Estimated minutes 1,455
- Vít KrejčíGImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 1,364
- Robert Williams IIIC-FImpact +0.46Estimated minutes 875
- Micah PotterCImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 627
›8 more on the roster
- Jeremy SochanFImpact −0.38Estimated minutes 448
- Shaedon SharpeGImpact −0.30Estimated minutes 332
- Branden CarlsonCImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 299
- Yang HansenCImpact −3.79Estimated minutes 198
- John TonjeGImpact −2.50Estimated minutes 165
- Chris YoungbloodGImpact −2.05Estimated minutes 162
- Jayson KentFImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 139
- Lee Hyun-jungImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).