Ja Morant 2026–27 projection
Portland Trail BlazersGAge 27.1Current age in years, from his birth date.
+2.10
+0.84+3.35ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.98Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,757
1,053–2,486Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
58
32–73Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
30.1
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
82%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.58Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+2.53From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
19–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 26 | 568 | 20 | +0.10 | +1.95 | −0.06 |
| 2024–25 | 25 | 1,519 | 50 | +0.10 | +3.09 | +2.90 |
| 2023–24 | 24 | 318 | 9 | +0.23 | +2.54 | +1.91 |
| 2022–23 | 23 | 1,948 | 61 | +1.55 | +2.59 | +3.74 |
| 2021–22 | 22 | 1,889 | 57 | +1.71 | +2.32 | +3.11 |
| 2020–21 | 21 | 2,053 | 63 | +1.04 | +0.51 | −0.21 |
| 2019–20 | 20 | 2,074 | 67 | −1.19 | +0.36 | −0.16 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Left elbow injury. Expected full recovery before 2026-27 per prior team statement.
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Grizzlies on June 29, 2026
Trail Blazers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Toumani CamaraFImpact +0.43Estimated minutes 2,324
- Deni AvdijaFImpact +1.66Estimated minutes 2,228
- Donovan ClinganCImpact +2.41Estimated minutes 1,960
- Jrue HolidayGImpact +1.12Estimated minutes 1,821
- Scoot HendersonGImpact −1.39Estimated minutes 1,746
- Damian LillardGImpact +1.13Estimated minutes 1,735
- Sidy CissokoGImpact −1.56Estimated minutes 1,455
- Vít KrejčíGImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 1,364
- Robert Williams IIIC-FImpact +0.46Estimated minutes 875
- Micah PotterCImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 627
›8 more on the roster
- Jeremy SochanFImpact −0.38Estimated minutes 448
- Shaedon SharpeGImpact −0.30Estimated minutes 332
- Branden CarlsonCImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 299
- Yang HansenCImpact −3.79Estimated minutes 198
- John TonjeGImpact −2.50Estimated minutes 165
- Chris YoungbloodGImpact −2.05Estimated minutes 162
- Jayson KentFImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 139
- Lee Hyun-jungImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).