Dillon Mitchell 2026–27 projection
Boston CelticsFAge 23.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.68
−3.02−0.38ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.03Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
98
0–241Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
20
0–41Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
4.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
63%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1.76Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.66From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 40
College
St. John's
2025–26 · 37 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
5%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Pinson | 2018–19 | – | −1.59 |
| Terance Mann | 2019–20 | 48 | −2.10 |
| Kenrich Williams | 2018–19 | – | −1.34 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 40 in 2026
Celtics teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Derrick WhiteGImpact +2.34Estimated minutes 2,304
- Payton PritchardGImpact +2.03Estimated minutes 2,213
- Jayson TatumF-GImpact +3.97Estimated minutes 2,205
- Sam HauserFImpact +0.78Estimated minutes 1,712
- Neemias QuetaCImpact +2.06Estimated minutes 1,632
- Paul GeorgeFImpact +0.62Estimated minutes 1,618
- Baylor ScheiermanGImpact −0.14Estimated minutes 1,456
- Hugo GonzálezGImpact +0.20Estimated minutes 1,340
- Mitchell RobinsonC-FImpact +1.04Estimated minutes 1,220
- Jordan WalshGImpact −0.31Estimated minutes 1,110
›10 more on the roster
- Luka GarzaCImpact +0.72Estimated minutes 808
- Mike ConleyGImpact −0.65Estimated minutes 743
- Ron Harper Jr.G-FImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 674
- Chris Cenac Jr.FImpact −2.13Estimated minutes 333
- Devin CarterGImpact −0.17Estimated minutes 109
- Amari WilliamsF-CImpact −3.12Estimated minutes 105
- Gabe McGlothanFImpact −2.71Estimated minutes 0
- Hayden GrayGImpact −2.59Estimated minutes 0
- Milos UzanGImpact −2.23Estimated minutes 0
- Tucker DeVriesImpact −2.02Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).