Jayson Tatum 2026–27 projection
Boston CelticsF-GAge 28.6Current age in years, from his birth date.
+3.97
+2.69+5.26ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.01Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,205
1,747–2,899Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
68
49–77Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
32.6
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
93%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+2.38Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+4.42From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
17–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 27 | 522 | 16 | +2.10 | +4.37 | +2.99 |
| 2024–25 | 26 | 2,625 | 72 | +2.75 | +5.07 | +4.25 |
| 2023–24 | 25 | 2,645 | 74 | +2.66 | +4.65 | +4.41 |
| 2022–23 | 24 | 2,732 | 74 | +2.75 | +5.52 | +5.28 |
| 2021–22 | 23 | 2,731 | 76 | +3.04 | +4.72 | +5.29 |
| 2020–21 | 22 | 2,290 | 64 | +3.01 | +4.20 | +3.26 |
| 2019–20 | 21 | 2,265 | 66 | +1.84 | +5.04 | +4.44 |
| 2018–19 | 20 | 2,455 | 79 | +1.51 | +1.01 | +0.55 |
| 2017–18 | 19 | 2,443 | 80 | +0.90 | +1.12 | +1.05 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Repaired right Achilles. Already returned March 2026; first full season after repair.
- Injury date
- May 12, 2025
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 3 in 2017
Celtics teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Derrick WhiteGImpact +2.34Estimated minutes 2,304
- Payton PritchardGImpact +2.03Estimated minutes 2,213
- Sam HauserFImpact +0.78Estimated minutes 1,712
- Neemias QuetaCImpact +2.06Estimated minutes 1,632
- Paul GeorgeFImpact +0.62Estimated minutes 1,618
- Baylor ScheiermanGImpact −0.14Estimated minutes 1,456
- Hugo GonzálezGImpact +0.20Estimated minutes 1,340
- Mitchell RobinsonC-FImpact +1.04Estimated minutes 1,220
- Jordan WalshGImpact −0.31Estimated minutes 1,110
- Luka GarzaCImpact +0.72Estimated minutes 808
›10 more on the roster
- Mike ConleyGImpact −0.65Estimated minutes 743
- Ron Harper Jr.G-FImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 674
- Chris Cenac Jr.FImpact −2.13Estimated minutes 333
- Devin CarterGImpact −0.17Estimated minutes 109
- Amari WilliamsF-CImpact −3.12Estimated minutes 105
- Dillon MitchellFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 98
- Gabe McGlothanFImpact −2.71Estimated minutes 0
- Hayden GrayGImpact −2.59Estimated minutes 0
- Milos UzanGImpact −2.23Estimated minutes 0
- Tucker DeVriesImpact −2.02Estimated minutes 0
Mentioned in
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).