Jimmy Butler III 2026–27 projection
Golden State WarriorsFAge 37.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
+2.53
+1.08+4.05ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.16Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.27,478 career NBA minutes · 1,182 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
534
8–1,182Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
20
0–40Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
26.7
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
67%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+2.21Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+2.62From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
+8
13–1414–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 36 | 1,182 | 39 | +2.65 | +4.48 | +4.29 |
| 2024–25 | 35 | 1,745 | 55 | +3.45 | +3.39 | +3.66 |
| 2023–24 | 34 | 2,042 | 60 | +2.10 | +3.16 | +3.18 |
| 2022–23 | 33 | 2,138 | 64 | +2.64 | +4.44 | +5.39 |
| 2021–22 | 32 | 1,931 | 57 | +3.04 | +4.70 | +3.77 |
| 2020–21 | 31 | 1,745 | 52 | +3.93 | +4.11 | +5.33 |
| 2019–20 | 30 | 1,959 | 58 | +4.40 | +5.26 | +4.50 |
| 2018–19 | 29 | 2,185 | 65 | +3.47 | +4.36 | +2.62 |
| 2017–18 | 28 | 2,164 | 59 | +3.87 | +5.38 | +5.03 |
| 2016–17 | 27 | 2,809 | 76 | +1.54 | +4.35 | +5.73 |
| 2015–16 | 26 | 2,474 | 67 | +1.79 | +3.02 | +3.24 |
| 2014–15 | 25 | 2,513 | 65 | +1.08 | +3.32 | +3.74 |
| 2013–14 | 24 | 2,591 | 67 | −1.28 | +1.13 | +1.86 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Right ACL rupture. Light court work; unavailable for season opener; no return timetable.
- Injury date
- January 19, 2026
- Early-return limitAssumed minutes-per-game limit for the first 5–10 games back. Our judgment, not a team announcement.
- About 24 minutes a game
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Heat on February 6, 2025
Warriors teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Brandin PodziemskiGImpact +1.25Estimated minutes 2,053
- Yaxel LendeborgFImpact −0.98Estimated minutes 1,875
- Gui SantosFImpact +0.74Estimated minutes 1,797
- Stephen CurryGImpact +2.83Estimated minutes 1,773
- Draymond GreenFImpact −0.93Estimated minutes 1,645
- Will RichardGImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 1,561
- De'Anthony MeltonGImpact +0.77Estimated minutes 1,416
- Al HorfordC-FImpact −0.36Estimated minutes 1,163
- Gary Payton IIGImpact −0.29Estimated minutes 1,132
- Kristaps PorziņģisF-CImpact +1.52Estimated minutes 1,086
›10 more on the roster
- Charles BasseyF-CImpact −1.99Estimated minutes 1,010
- Brandon WilliamsGImpact −1.08Estimated minutes 897
- Georges NiangFImpact −2.63Estimated minutes 548
- Malevy LeonsFImpact −2.70Estimated minutes 403
- Moses MoodyGImpact +1.22Estimated minutes 374
- LJ CryerGImpact −1.61Estimated minutes 263
- Miles KellyGImpact −2.38Estimated minutes 90
- Graham IkeFImpact −1.87Estimated minutes 60
- Alex TooheyFImpact −2.69Estimated minutes 0
- Dalen TerryFImpact −1.29Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).