Wendell Carter Jr. 2026–27 projection
Orlando MagicC-FAge 27.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.63
−0.43+1.69ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.84Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.Low error barsA narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.
A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.12,735 career NBA minutes · 2,288 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,714
756–2,394Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
66
25–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
26.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
76%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.17Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+0.85From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
18–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 26 | 2,288 | 78 | −0.02 | +1.05 | +1.05 |
| 2024–25 | 25 | 1,758 | 68 | −1.01 | +0.63 | +0.88 |
| 2023–24 | 24 | 1,406 | 55 | +0.49 | +1.18 | +1.92 |
| 2022–23 | 23 | 1,690 | 57 | +0.60 | +1.30 | +1.79 |
| 2021–22 | 22 | 1,852 | 62 | +0.86 | +1.51 | +2.38 |
| 2020–21 | 21 | 1,375 | 54 | −0.75 | −0.87 | −0.20 |
| 2019–20 | 20 | 1,256 | 43 | −0.55 | −0.94 | +0.23 |
| 2018–19 | 19 | 1,110 | 44 | −2.38 | −1.25 | −0.73 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Bulls on March 25, 2021
Magic teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Paolo BancheroFImpact +0.91Estimated minutes 2,305
- Desmond BaneGImpact +1.34Estimated minutes 2,127
- Franz WagnerFImpact +3.94Estimated minutes 1,987
- Anthony BlackGImpact −0.45Estimated minutes 1,769
- Tristan da SilvaFImpact −1.36Estimated minutes 1,583
- Jalen SuggsGImpact +1.19Estimated minutes 1,543
- Nikola VučevićCImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,398
- Noah PendaG-FImpact −2.57Estimated minutes 1,289
- Jevon CarterGImpact −2.10Estimated minutes 1,045
- Jamal CainFImpact −2.20Estimated minutes 736
›9 more on the roster
- Jase RichardsonGImpact −2.01Estimated minutes 692
- Goga BitadzeC-FImpact +0.30Estimated minutes 580
- Jonathan IsaacFImpact +0.60Estimated minutes 387
- Colin CastletonCImpact −2.39Estimated minutes 146
- Izaiyah NelsonFImpact −1.76Estimated minutes 146
- Alex MoralesGImpact −2.79Estimated minutes 144
- Kevin Knox IIFImpact −2.85Estimated minutes 89
- JD DavisonGImpact −1.46Estimated minutes 0
- Malaki BranhamFImpact −2.25Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).