AJ Johnson 2026–27 projection
New Orleans PelicansGAge 21.8Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.93
−4.20−1.64ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.00Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
215
0–481Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
24
0–46Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
9.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
64%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.33Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−3.10From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−8
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
24–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 20 | 454 | 48 | −2.77 | −4.35 | −6.58 |
| 2024–25 | 19 | 638 | 29 | −4.65 | −3.63 | −4.59 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Grizzlies on September 8, 2026
Pelicans teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trey Murphy IIIFImpact +0.97Estimated minutes 2,173
- Dejounte MurrayGImpact +0.07Estimated minutes 1,953
- Jeremiah FearsGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,905
- Saddiq BeyG-FImpact +0.14Estimated minutes 1,895
- Derik QueenCImpact −2.75Estimated minutes 1,771
- Zion WilliamsonFImpact +1.28Estimated minutes 1,749
- Herbert JonesFImpact +0.58Estimated minutes 1,666
- Yves MissiCImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 1,513
- Bennedict MathurinG-FImpact −0.97Estimated minutes 1,500
- Karlo MatkovićF-CImpact −1.82Estimated minutes 846
›10 more on the roster
- Jordan PooleGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 821
- Bryce McGowensGImpact −2.29Estimated minutes 577
- Trendon WatfordG-FImpact −2.10Estimated minutes 562
- DeAndre JordanCImpact −3.94Estimated minutes 167
- Jaron Pierre Jr.GImpact −2.44Estimated minutes 112
- Julian ReeseFImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 59
- Caleb HoustanGImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 53
- Malik DiaFImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 51
- Christian KolokoCImpact −1.77Estimated minutes 46
- Kobe BufkinGImpact −0.94Estimated minutes 46
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).