Jaron Pierre Jr. 2026–27 projection
New Orleans PelicansGAge 24.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.44
−3.75−1.16ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.02Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
112
0–271Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
20
0–40Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
5.6
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
65%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.48Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−2.42From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 58
College
SMU
2025–26 · 34 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
1%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Lee | 2017–18 | – | −0.53 |
| James Nunnally | 2013–14 | – | −1.33 |
| Jeenathan Williams | 2022–23 | – | −2.14 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 58 in 2026
Pelicans teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trey Murphy IIIFImpact +0.97Estimated minutes 2,173
- Dejounte MurrayGImpact +0.07Estimated minutes 1,953
- Jeremiah FearsGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,905
- Saddiq BeyG-FImpact +0.14Estimated minutes 1,895
- Derik QueenCImpact −2.75Estimated minutes 1,771
- Zion WilliamsonFImpact +1.28Estimated minutes 1,749
- Herbert JonesFImpact +0.58Estimated minutes 1,666
- Yves MissiCImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 1,513
- Bennedict MathurinG-FImpact −0.97Estimated minutes 1,500
- Karlo MatkovićF-CImpact −1.82Estimated minutes 846
›10 more on the roster
- Jordan PooleGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 821
- Bryce McGowensGImpact −2.29Estimated minutes 577
- Trendon WatfordG-FImpact −2.10Estimated minutes 562
- AJ JohnsonGImpact −2.93Estimated minutes 215
- DeAndre JordanCImpact −3.94Estimated minutes 167
- Julian ReeseFImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 59
- Caleb HoustanGImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 53
- Malik DiaFImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 51
- Christian KolokoCImpact −1.77Estimated minutes 46
- Kobe BufkinGImpact −0.94Estimated minutes 46
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).