Zion Williamson 2026–27 projection
New Orleans PelicansFAge 26.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.28
+0.17+2.38ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.86Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,749
1,014–2,439Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
63
33–76Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
27.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
81%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.56Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.48From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
19–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 25 | 1,841 | 62 | +0.20 | +0.65 | +1.35 |
| 2024–25 | 24 | 857 | 30 | +1.18 | +3.71 | +3.25 |
| 2023–24 | 23 | 2,207 | 70 | −0.26 | +2.37 | +1.26 |
| 2022–23 | 22 | 956 | 29 | +0.87 | +3.35 | +3.87 |
| 2021–22 | 21 | 0 | – | – | +1.83 | – |
| 2020–21 | 20 | 2,026 | 61 | +1.97 | +3.17 | +3.43 |
| 2019–20 | 19 | 668 | 24 | −0.98 | +1.23 | +1.76 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical hamstring and right-adductor strains. Returning core expected; no current acute injury established.
- Injury date
- December 2, 2025
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 1 in 2019
Pelicans teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trey Murphy IIIFImpact +0.97Estimated minutes 2,173
- Dejounte MurrayGImpact +0.07Estimated minutes 1,953
- Jeremiah FearsGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,905
- Saddiq BeyG-FImpact +0.14Estimated minutes 1,895
- Derik QueenCImpact −2.75Estimated minutes 1,771
- Herbert JonesFImpact +0.58Estimated minutes 1,666
- Yves MissiCImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 1,513
- Bennedict MathurinG-FImpact −0.97Estimated minutes 1,500
- Karlo MatkovićF-CImpact −1.82Estimated minutes 846
- Jordan PooleGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 821
›10 more on the roster
- Bryce McGowensGImpact −2.29Estimated minutes 577
- Trendon WatfordG-FImpact −2.10Estimated minutes 562
- AJ JohnsonGImpact −2.93Estimated minutes 215
- DeAndre JordanCImpact −3.94Estimated minutes 167
- Jaron Pierre Jr.GImpact −2.44Estimated minutes 112
- Julian ReeseFImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 59
- Caleb HoustanGImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 53
- Malik DiaFImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 51
- Christian KolokoCImpact −1.77Estimated minutes 46
- Kobe BufkinGImpact −0.94Estimated minutes 46
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).