Alex Karaban 2026–27 projection
Sacramento KingsFAge 23.9Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.78
−3.23−0.33ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.13Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
468
0–816Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
36
0–56Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
13.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
67%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1.97Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.72From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 29
College
Connecticut
2025–26 · 40 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
6%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Livers | 2021–22 | 42 | −2.06 |
| Reggie Bullock | 2013–14 | 25 | −3.11 |
| Cody Martin | 2019–20 | 36 | −0.93 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Cavaliers on June 24, 2026
Kings teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Keegan MurrayFImpact +0.36Estimated minutes 2,273
- Darius Acuff Jr.GImpact −1.98Estimated minutes 2,133
- Domantas SabonisF-CImpact +1.34Estimated minutes 2,033
- Zach LaVineGImpact −1.39Estimated minutes 1,819
- De'Andre HunterF-GImpact −0.65Estimated minutes 1,684
- Nique CliffordGImpact −1.42Estimated minutes 1,537
- Maxime RaynaudCImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 1,518
- Malik MonkGImpact −0.60Estimated minutes 1,299
- Daeqwon PlowdenG-FImpact −1.93Estimated minutes 1,284
- Precious AchiuwaFImpact −1.48Estimated minutes 1,157
›10 more on the roster
- Ben SimmonsG-FImpact −0.80Estimated minutes 741
- Dylan CardwellCImpact −1.46Estimated minutes 688
- Emanuel SharpGImpact −2.06Estimated minutes 349
- Elfrid PaytonGImpact −3.59Estimated minutes 203
- Jonathan MogboFImpact −2.77Estimated minutes 187
- Adam FlaglerGImpact −0.83Estimated minutes 165
- Tristen NewtonGImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 54
- Sean East IIGImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
- Viktor LakhinFImpact −1.47Estimated minutes 44
- Leaky BlackFImpact −3.46Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).