Keegan Murray 2026–27 projection
Sacramento KingsFAge 26.1Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.36
−0.83+1.54ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.94Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,273
1,801–2,930Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
71
53–80Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
31.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
93%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.05Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+0.48From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
22–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 25 | 793 | 23 | −1.38 | −0.37 | −2.70 |
| 2024–25 | 24 | 2,610 | 76 | −0.02 | +0.67 | +0.46 |
| 2023–24 | 23 | 2,589 | 77 | +1.10 | +1.89 | +1.46 |
| 2022–23 | 22 | 2,382 | 80 | +0.12 | −0.50 | −0.86 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Prior injury-limited season; specific current diagnosis not established. Return expected in 2026-27.
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 4 in 2022
Kings teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Darius Acuff Jr.GImpact −1.98Estimated minutes 2,133
- Domantas SabonisF-CImpact +1.34Estimated minutes 2,033
- Zach LaVineGImpact −1.39Estimated minutes 1,819
- De'Andre HunterF-GImpact −0.65Estimated minutes 1,684
- Nique CliffordGImpact −1.42Estimated minutes 1,537
- Maxime RaynaudCImpact −2.64Estimated minutes 1,518
- Malik MonkGImpact −0.60Estimated minutes 1,299
- Daeqwon PlowdenG-FImpact −1.93Estimated minutes 1,284
- Precious AchiuwaFImpact −1.48Estimated minutes 1,157
- Ben SimmonsG-FImpact −0.80Estimated minutes 741
›10 more on the roster
- Dylan CardwellCImpact −1.46Estimated minutes 688
- Alex KarabanFImpact −1.78Estimated minutes 468
- Emanuel SharpGImpact −2.06Estimated minutes 349
- Elfrid PaytonGImpact −3.59Estimated minutes 203
- Jonathan MogboFImpact −2.77Estimated minutes 187
- Adam FlaglerGImpact −0.83Estimated minutes 165
- Tristen NewtonGImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 54
- Sean East IIGImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
- Viktor LakhinFImpact −1.47Estimated minutes 44
- Leaky BlackFImpact −3.46Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).