Caleb Wilson 2026–27 projection
Chicago BullsFAge 20.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.23
−2.88+0.37ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.27Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,031
1,091–2,758Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
71
35–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
28.5
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
77%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.11Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.98From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 4
College
North Carolina
2025–26 · 24 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
17%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray | 2022–23 | 4 | −0.31 |
| Jahlil Okafor | 2015–16 | 3 | −4.09 |
| Cody Zeller | 2013–14 | 4 | −2.31 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 4 in 2026
Bulls teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Matas BuzelisFImpact −0.45Estimated minutes 2,284
- Josh GiddeyGImpact +0.51Estimated minutes 2,167
- Nic ClaxtonCImpact −0.33Estimated minutes 1,900
- Norman PowellGImpact +0.58Estimated minutes 1,894
- Isaac OkoroF-GImpact −0.79Estimated minutes 1,789
- Tre JonesGImpact +0.70Estimated minutes 1,621
- Jalen SmithF-CImpact +0.57Estimated minutes 1,242
- Zach CollinsF-CImpact −1.55Estimated minutes 1,062
- Patrick WilliamsFImpact −2.81Estimated minutes 953
- Leonard MillerFImpact −0.87Estimated minutes 875
›10 more on the roster
- Buddy HieldGImpact −1.51Estimated minutes 707
- Dailyn SwainFImpact −1.75Estimated minutes 608
- Noa EssengueFImpact −2.31Estimated minutes 350
- Jaylin SellersImpact −2.46Estimated minutes 122
- Tobe AwakaFImpact −1.83Estimated minutes 75
- Brandon BostonGImpact −2.03Estimated minutes 0
- Drew PetersonFImpact −2.16Estimated minutes 0
- Marquel SuttonImpact −2.41Estimated minutes 0
- Orlando RobinsonCImpact −1.75Estimated minutes 0
- Peter SuderGImpact −2.27Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).