Collin Sexton 2026–27 projection
Los Angeles LakersGAge 27.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
−0.83
−1.93+0.28ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.86Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,495
708–2,042Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
70
29–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
21.3
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
77%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.89Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.81From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−5
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
18–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 26 | 1,613 | 68 | −1.17 | −1.04 | −0.14 |
| 2024–25 | 25 | 1,758 | 63 | −1.02 | −0.20 | +0.15 |
| 2023–24 | 24 | 2,075 | 78 | +0.31 | +0.02 | +1.11 |
| 2022–23 | 23 | 1,145 | 48 | −2.45 | −1.88 | −0.92 |
| 2021–22 | 22 | 316 | 11 | −1.27 | −1.78 | −1.83 |
| 2020–21 | 21 | 2,115 | 60 | −1.52 | −1.46 | −0.74 |
| 2019–20 | 20 | 2,143 | 65 | −3.68 | −2.33 | −1.70 |
| 2018–19 | 19 | 2,605 | 82 | −4.25 | −4.05 | −4.89 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed July 11, 2026
Lakers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Austin ReavesGImpact +1.72Estimated minutes 2,279
- Luka DončićF-GImpact +5.13Estimated minutes 2,094
- Quentin GrimesGImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 1,948
- Walker KesslerCImpact +0.35Estimated minutes 1,930
- Jake LaRaviaFImpact −1.06Estimated minutes 1,725
- Sandro MamukelashviliF-CImpact +0.24Estimated minutes 1,509
- Ziaire WilliamsFImpact −1.40Estimated minutes 1,497
- Jarred VanderbiltFImpact −1.17Estimated minutes 1,014
- Matisse ThybulleG-FImpact −1.21Estimated minutes 1,008
- Kevon LooneyFImpact −0.43Estimated minutes 714
›10 more on the roster
- Cameron CarrGImpact −2.19Estimated minutes 571
- Adou ThieroGImpact −3.49Estimated minutes 446
- Jaden HardyGImpact −2.01Estimated minutes 438
- Dalton KnechtFImpact −2.44Estimated minutes 326
- Bronny JamesGImpact −3.38Estimated minutes 286
- Arthur KalumaFImpact −1.87Estimated minutes 100
- Chris MañonGImpact −3.84Estimated minutes 89
- Cole SwiderFImpact −1.80Estimated minutes 87
- AK OkerekeFImpact −2.22Estimated minutes 81
- William KyleImpact −1.93Estimated minutes 43
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).