Kelly Oubre Jr. 2026–27 projection
Indiana PacersF-GAge 30.8Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.56
−2.60−0.51ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.83Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,767
725–2,429Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
68
25–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
73%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1.47Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.59From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
15–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 29 | 1,574 | 50 | −1.98 | −1.19 | −0.58 |
| 2024–25 | 28 | 2,078 | 60 | −0.14 | −1.26 | −0.82 |
| 2023–24 | 27 | 2,055 | 68 | −0.81 | −0.41 | −0.56 |
| 2022–23 | 26 | 1,548 | 48 | −1.81 | −0.98 | −0.45 |
| 2021–22 | 25 | 1,999 | 76 | −0.46 | −0.98 | −0.02 |
| 2020–21 | 24 | 1,688 | 55 | −1.50 | −1.64 | −0.86 |
| 2019–20 | 23 | 1,933 | 56 | −1.33 | −0.79 | +0.11 |
| 2018–19 | 22 | 1,935 | 69 | −0.51 | −1.04 | −1.48 |
| 2017–18 | 21 | 2,231 | 81 | −2.67 | −1.44 | −1.69 |
| 2016–17 | 20 | 1,605 | 79 | −3.01 | −2.36 | −1.99 |
| 2015–16 | 19 | 671 | 63 | −3.25 | −2.59 | −2.70 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed July 7, 2026
Pacers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Pascal SiakamFImpact +1.90Estimated minutes 2,101
- Ivica ZubacCImpact +1.76Estimated minutes 1,985
- Andrew NembhardG-FImpact +0.66Estimated minutes 1,981
- Tyrese HaliburtonGImpact +3.40Estimated minutes 1,870
- Aaron NesmithG-FImpact +0.41Estimated minutes 1,849
- Jarace WalkerFImpact −2.80Estimated minutes 1,395
- Obi ToppinFImpact −0.11Estimated minutes 1,280
- Ben SheppardGImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 1,273
- Jay HuffCImpact −1.73Estimated minutes 1,222
- T.J. McConnellGImpact −0.76Estimated minutes 1,084
›9 more on the roster
- Quenton JacksonGImpact −0.98Estimated minutes 530
- Larry Nance Jr.F-CImpact −1.71Estimated minutes 466
- Jalen SlawsonFImpact −2.63Estimated minutes 297
- Braden SmithGImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 160
- Kobe BrownFImpact −3.46Estimated minutes 152
- James JohnsonFImpact −5.19Estimated minutes 90
- Johnny FurphyGImpact −1.40Estimated minutes 88
- Keba KeitaCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 45
- Rienk MastCImpact −1.97Estimated minutes 45
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).