Larry Nance Jr. 2026–27 projection
Indiana PacersF-CAge 33.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.71
−2.86−0.58ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.89Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
466
0–850Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
43
0–66Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
10.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
67%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.70Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−2.00From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
15–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 32 | 449 | 35 | −0.25 | −2.88 | −3.40 |
| 2024–25 | 31 | 463 | 24 | +0.09 | −0.91 | −1.63 |
| 2023–24 | 30 | 1,216 | 61 | −0.74 | +0.21 | −0.36 |
| 2022–23 | 29 | 1,381 | 65 | +1.24 | −0.45 | +0.26 |
| 2021–22 | 28 | 1,040 | 46 | +0.18 | −1.37 | −0.76 |
| 2020–21 | 27 | 1,091 | 35 | +0.43 | −0.23 | +0.04 |
| 2019–20 | 26 | 1,472 | 56 | +0.76 | −0.53 | −0.56 |
| 2018–19 | 25 | 1,795 | 67 | +0.11 | −0.17 | +0.36 |
| 2017–18 | 24 | 1,421 | 66 | −0.53 | +0.51 | +1.89 |
| 2016–17 | 23 | 1,442 | 63 | −0.62 | −0.31 | +0.18 |
| 2015–16 | 22 | 1,266 | 63 | −0.97 | −1.44 | −1.10 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed July 9, 2026
Pacers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Pascal SiakamFImpact +1.90Estimated minutes 2,101
- Ivica ZubacCImpact +1.76Estimated minutes 1,985
- Andrew NembhardG-FImpact +0.66Estimated minutes 1,981
- Tyrese HaliburtonGImpact +3.40Estimated minutes 1,870
- Aaron NesmithG-FImpact +0.41Estimated minutes 1,849
- Kelly Oubre Jr.F-GImpact −1.56Estimated minutes 1,767
- Jarace WalkerFImpact −2.80Estimated minutes 1,395
- Obi ToppinFImpact −0.11Estimated minutes 1,280
- Ben SheppardGImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 1,273
- Jay HuffCImpact −1.73Estimated minutes 1,222
›9 more on the roster
- T.J. McConnellGImpact −0.76Estimated minutes 1,084
- Quenton JacksonGImpact −0.98Estimated minutes 530
- Jalen SlawsonFImpact −2.63Estimated minutes 297
- Braden SmithGImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 160
- Kobe BrownFImpact −3.46Estimated minutes 152
- James JohnsonFImpact −5.19Estimated minutes 90
- Johnny FurphyGImpact −1.40Estimated minutes 88
- Keba KeitaCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 45
- Rienk MastCImpact −1.97Estimated minutes 45
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).