Aaron Gordon 2026–27 projection
Denver NuggetsFAge 31.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.91
−0.19+2.09ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.90Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,540
991–2,210Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
60
34–73Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
84%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.13Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.13From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
14–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 30 | 1,005 | 36 | +0.42 | +1.61 | +2.37 |
| 2024–25 | 29 | 1,447 | 51 | +0.64 | +1.78 | +0.87 |
| 2023–24 | 28 | 2,297 | 73 | +0.61 | +2.14 | +2.09 |
| 2022–23 | 27 | 2,057 | 68 | +1.27 | +3.06 | +3.65 |
| 2021–22 | 26 | 2,375 | 75 | +0.79 | +0.35 | +1.02 |
| 2020–21 | 25 | 1,384 | 50 | −0.21 | −0.35 | +0.52 |
| 2019–20 | 24 | 2,017 | 62 | −0.50 | +0.42 | −0.06 |
| 2018–19 | 23 | 2,633 | 78 | −0.23 | +0.41 | +0.84 |
| 2017–18 | 22 | 1,909 | 58 | +0.11 | +0.91 | +1.53 |
| 2016–17 | 21 | 2,298 | 80 | −1.99 | −0.46 | −0.15 |
| 2015–16 | 20 | 1,863 | 78 | +0.27 | +0.23 | +0.46 |
| 2014–15 | 19 | 797 | 47 | −4.17 | −2.10 | −2.16 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical right-hamstring strain and calf trouble. Reports readiness for 2026-27.
- Injury date
- January 23, 2026
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Magic on March 25, 2021
Nuggets teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Nikola JokićCImpact +6.49Estimated minutes 2,354
- Jamal MurrayGImpact +1.48Estimated minutes 2,172
- Christian BraunGImpact +1.08Estimated minutes 2,074
- DeMar DeRozanG-FImpact −1.07Estimated minutes 1,882
- Cameron JohnsonFImpact +0.93Estimated minutes 1,853
- Spencer JonesFImpact −2.32Estimated minutes 1,472
- Tyus JonesGImpact −1.84Estimated minutes 1,285
- Julian StrawtherGImpact −2.39Estimated minutes 1,065
- Marvin Bagley IIIFImpact −1.27Estimated minutes 998
- Alpha DialloGImpact −1.73Estimated minutes 904
›10 more on the roster
- Zeke NnajiF-CImpact −2.34Estimated minutes 383
- Trevon BrazileFImpact −1.72Estimated minutes 361
- Lonnie Walker IVG-FImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 346
- DaRon Holmes IIFImpact −1.51Estimated minutes 324
- KJ SimpsonGImpact −2.98Estimated minutes 228
- Bryce HopkinsFImpact −1.99Estimated minutes 168
- Cam WhitmoreFImpact −0.11Estimated minutes 139
- Coleman HawkinsFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 44
- Dane GoodwinGImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
- Emanuel MillerFImpact −3.14Estimated minutes 44
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).