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Nikola Jokić 2026–27 projection

Denver NuggetsCAge 31.6

+6.49
ImpactPer 100 possessions0 = league average
+5.31+7.65
Middle 80% of outcomes · ±0.91Low error bars

A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.25,912 career NBA minutes · 2,265 minutes last season.

Playing time

Est. minutes
2,354
971–3,058
Games
73
26–82
Minutes a game
32.2
Availability
74%

Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.

Where Impact comes from

JAYLEN
+5.85
Our player impact rating
Expected EPM
+6.66
From Dunks & Threes

Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.

Rating history

JAYLENExpected EPMActual EPM2026–27 projection
›Season by season
SeasonAgeMinGamesJAYLENExp. EPMActual EPM
2025–26302,26565+6.45+7.34+8.11
2024–25292,57170+7.32+8.08+8.32
2023–24282,73779+6.30+8.31+7.56
2022–23272,32469+7.09+8.39+8.24
2021–22262,47674+4.79+7.59+9.22
2020–21252,48872+4.80+6.73+7.99
2019–20242,33573+3.41+4.77+5.74
2018–19232,50480+4.45+6.54+6.29
2017–18222,44375+4.84+6.07+4.91
2016–17212,03873+3.78+5.29+5.26
2015–16201,73380+2.98+3.09+3.36

How he joined

Drafted No. 41 in 2014

Nuggets teammates

  1. PlayerImpactMin
  2. Jamal MurrayGImpact +1.48Estimated minutes 2,172
  3. Christian BraunGImpact +1.08Estimated minutes 2,074
  4. DeMar DeRozanG-FImpact −1.07Estimated minutes 1,882
  5. Cameron JohnsonFImpact +0.93Estimated minutes 1,853
  6. Aaron GordonFImpact +0.91Estimated minutes 1,540
  7. Spencer JonesFImpact −2.32Estimated minutes 1,472
  8. Tyus JonesGImpact −1.84Estimated minutes 1,285
  9. Julian StrawtherGImpact −2.39Estimated minutes 1,065
  10. Marvin Bagley IIIFImpact −1.27Estimated minutes 998
  11. Alpha DialloGImpact −1.73Estimated minutes 904
›10 more on the roster
  1. Zeke NnajiF-CImpact −2.34Estimated minutes 383
  2. Trevon BrazileFImpact −1.72Estimated minutes 361
  3. Lonnie Walker IVG-FImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 346
  4. DaRon Holmes IIFImpact −1.51Estimated minutes 324
  5. KJ SimpsonGImpact −2.98Estimated minutes 228
  6. Bryce HopkinsFImpact −1.99Estimated minutes 168
  7. Cam WhitmoreFImpact −0.11Estimated minutes 139
  8. Coleman HawkinsFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 44
  9. Dane GoodwinGImpact −1.88Estimated minutes 44
  10. Emanuel MillerFImpact −3.14Estimated minutes 44

Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).