Donovan Mitchell 2026–27 projection
Cleveland CavaliersGAge 30.0Current age in years, from his birth date.
+3.51
+2.38+4.68ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.89Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.Low error barsA narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.
A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.20,587 career NBA minutes · 2,342 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,149
863–2,897Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
69
24–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
31.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
74%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+3.54Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+3.51From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
17–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 29 | 2,342 | 70 | +3.94 | +3.65 | +5.04 |
| 2024–25 | 28 | 2,232 | 71 | +4.62 | +5.60 | +4.51 |
| 2023–24 | 27 | 1,943 | 55 | +3.38 | +3.91 | +4.49 |
| 2022–23 | 26 | 2,432 | 68 | +2.30 | +3.25 | +4.26 |
| 2021–22 | 25 | 2,266 | 67 | +1.68 | +2.56 | +3.30 |
| 2020–21 | 24 | 1,771 | 53 | +0.65 | +3.57 | +3.09 |
| 2019–20 | 23 | 2,364 | 69 | +0.39 | +2.47 | +1.09 |
| 2018–19 | 22 | 2,598 | 77 | +1.67 | +1.60 | +1.74 |
| 2017–18 | 21 | 2,638 | 79 | +2.13 | +2.18 | +2.11 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Jazz on September 3, 2022
Cavaliers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- James HardenGImpact +0.96Estimated minutes 2,134
- Evan MobleyCImpact +1.68Estimated minutes 2,048
- Peyton WatsonGImpact −1.11Estimated minutes 2,026
- Jarrett AllenCImpact +2.89Estimated minutes 1,850
- Jaylon TysonG-FImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 1,807
- Sam MerrillGImpact +0.02Estimated minutes 1,774
- Craig Porter Jr.GImpact −1.85Estimated minutes 1,296
- Nae'Qwan TomlinFImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 1,059
- Mario HezonjaF-GImpact −3.19Estimated minutes 1,020
- Thomas BryantC-FImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 769
›10 more on the roster
- Meleek ThomasGImpact −2.33Estimated minutes 657
- Tyrese ProctorGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 554
- Tristan EnarunaFImpact −2.83Estimated minutes 161
- Ernest Udeh, Jr.CImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 153
- Riley MinixFImpact −2.89Estimated minutes 148
- Khalifa DiopCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 75
- Curtis JonesGImpact −2.16Estimated minutes 0
- Kadary RichmondGImpact −2.53Estimated minutes 0
- Rashaun AgeeImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 0
- Zack AustinGImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).