Sam Merrill 2026–27 projection
Cleveland CavaliersGAge 30.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.02
−1.18+1.23ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.94Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,774
733–2,437Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
69
24–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
75%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+1.03Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.26From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
20–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 29 | 1,377 | 52 | +1.67 | +0.05 | +1.50 |
| 2024–25 | 28 | 1,401 | 71 | +1.42 | +0.42 | +0.65 |
| 2023–24 | 27 | 1,069 | 61 | +0.08 | −0.37 | +1.80 |
| 2022–23 | 26 | 59 | 5 | – | −1.64 | −1.01 |
| 2021–22 | 25 | 58 | 6 | – | −1.86 | −1.16 |
| 2020–21 | 24 | 233 | 30 | −3.50 | −3.15 | −2.31 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed March 3, 2023
Cavaliers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Donovan MitchellGImpact +3.51Estimated minutes 2,149
- James HardenGImpact +0.96Estimated minutes 2,134
- Evan MobleyCImpact +1.68Estimated minutes 2,048
- Peyton WatsonGImpact −1.11Estimated minutes 2,026
- Jarrett AllenCImpact +2.89Estimated minutes 1,850
- Jaylon TysonG-FImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 1,807
- Craig Porter Jr.GImpact −1.85Estimated minutes 1,296
- Nae'Qwan TomlinFImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 1,059
- Mario HezonjaF-GImpact −3.19Estimated minutes 1,020
- Thomas BryantC-FImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 769
›10 more on the roster
- Meleek ThomasGImpact −2.33Estimated minutes 657
- Tyrese ProctorGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 554
- Tristan EnarunaFImpact −2.83Estimated minutes 161
- Ernest Udeh, Jr.CImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 153
- Riley MinixFImpact −2.89Estimated minutes 148
- Khalifa DiopCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 75
- Curtis JonesGImpact −2.16Estimated minutes 0
- Kadary RichmondGImpact −2.53Estimated minutes 0
- Rashaun AgeeImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 0
- Zack AustinGImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).