James Harden 2026–27 projection
Cleveland CavaliersGAge 37.1Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.96
+0.01+1.91ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.74Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,134
832–2,912Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
67
23–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
31.7
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
74%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+1.76Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+0.73From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
+8
+10
13–1414–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 36 | 2,439 | 70 | +2.13 | +1.22 | +2.77 |
| 2024–25 | 35 | 2,789 | 79 | +3.21 | +3.07 | +3.09 |
| 2023–24 | 34 | 2,470 | 72 | +2.95 | +2.12 | +2.69 |
| 2022–23 | 33 | 2,135 | 58 | +2.10 | +3.33 | +4.54 |
| 2021–22 | 32 | 2,420 | 65 | +2.34 | +3.42 | +3.36 |
| 2020–21 | 31 | 1,609 | 44 | +3.21 | +4.87 | +4.49 |
| 2019–20 | 30 | 2,483 | 68 | +3.35 | +7.30 | +7.92 |
| 2018–19 | 29 | 2,867 | 78 | +3.82 | +7.27 | +9.39 |
| 2017–18 | 28 | 2,551 | 72 | +4.69 | +6.95 | +7.98 |
| 2016–17 | 27 | 2,947 | 81 | +1.42 | +6.09 | +6.80 |
| 2015–16 | 26 | 3,125 | 82 | +3.81 | +4.47 | +4.66 |
| 2014–15 | 25 | 2,981 | 81 | +1.92 | +5.64 | +6.90 |
| 2013–14 | 24 | 2,777 | 73 | +2.32 | +4.10 | +5.14 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Clippers on February 4, 2026
Cavaliers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Donovan MitchellGImpact +3.51Estimated minutes 2,149
- Evan MobleyCImpact +1.68Estimated minutes 2,048
- Peyton WatsonGImpact −1.11Estimated minutes 2,026
- Jarrett AllenCImpact +2.89Estimated minutes 1,850
- Jaylon TysonG-FImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 1,807
- Sam MerrillGImpact +0.02Estimated minutes 1,774
- Craig Porter Jr.GImpact −1.85Estimated minutes 1,296
- Nae'Qwan TomlinFImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 1,059
- Mario HezonjaF-GImpact −3.19Estimated minutes 1,020
- Thomas BryantC-FImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 769
›10 more on the roster
- Meleek ThomasGImpact −2.33Estimated minutes 657
- Tyrese ProctorGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 554
- Tristan EnarunaFImpact −2.83Estimated minutes 161
- Ernest Udeh, Jr.CImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 153
- Riley MinixFImpact −2.89Estimated minutes 148
- Khalifa DiopCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 75
- Curtis JonesGImpact −2.16Estimated minutes 0
- Kadary RichmondGImpact −2.53Estimated minutes 0
- Rashaun AgeeImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 0
- Zack AustinGImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Mentioned in
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).