Evan Mobley 2026–27 projection
Cleveland CavaliersCAge 25.3Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.68
+0.57+2.84ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.88Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.Low error barsA narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.
A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.10,820 career NBA minutes · 2,075 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,048
930–2,823Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
68
26–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
30.3
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
76%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+1.99Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.59From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
21–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 24 | 2,075 | 65 | +1.75 | +1.31 | +2.12 |
| 2024–25 | 23 | 2,166 | 71 | +2.01 | +2.09 | +3.87 |
| 2023–24 | 22 | 1,532 | 50 | +0.11 | +1.03 | +1.52 |
| 2022–23 | 21 | 2,715 | 79 | +1.56 | +1.62 | +1.23 |
| 2021–22 | 20 | 2,331 | 69 | −0.94 | +0.96 | +0.65 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 3 in 2021
Cavaliers teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Donovan MitchellGImpact +3.51Estimated minutes 2,149
- James HardenGImpact +0.96Estimated minutes 2,134
- Peyton WatsonGImpact −1.11Estimated minutes 2,026
- Jarrett AllenCImpact +2.89Estimated minutes 1,850
- Jaylon TysonG-FImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 1,807
- Sam MerrillGImpact +0.02Estimated minutes 1,774
- Craig Porter Jr.GImpact −1.85Estimated minutes 1,296
- Nae'Qwan TomlinFImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 1,059
- Mario HezonjaF-GImpact −3.19Estimated minutes 1,020
- Thomas BryantC-FImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 769
›10 more on the roster
- Meleek ThomasGImpact −2.33Estimated minutes 657
- Tyrese ProctorGImpact −0.81Estimated minutes 554
- Tristan EnarunaFImpact −2.83Estimated minutes 161
- Ernest Udeh, Jr.CImpact −1.89Estimated minutes 153
- Riley MinixFImpact −2.89Estimated minutes 148
- Khalifa DiopCImpact −1.95Estimated minutes 75
- Curtis JonesGImpact −2.16Estimated minutes 0
- Kadary RichmondGImpact −2.53Estimated minutes 0
- Rashaun AgeeImpact −1.64Estimated minutes 0
- Zack AustinGImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Mentioned in
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).