Dorian Finney-Smith 2026–27 projection
Atlanta HawksFAge 33.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
−0.66
−1.80+0.47ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.90Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
630
0–1,125Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
42
0–64Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
15.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
67%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−0.37Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.74From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
16–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 32 | 620 | 37 | −1.28 | −1.56 | −4.38 |
| 2024–25 | 31 | 1,821 | 63 | +0.93 | +1.00 | +1.92 |
| 2023–24 | 30 | 1,935 | 68 | +0.01 | −0.42 | −0.28 |
| 2022–23 | 29 | 2,009 | 66 | +0.84 | −0.03 | −0.10 |
| 2021–22 | 28 | 2,644 | 80 | +0.69 | +1.32 | +1.55 |
| 2020–21 | 27 | 1,921 | 60 | +0.79 | +1.46 | +1.29 |
| 2019–20 | 26 | 2,120 | 71 | −0.56 | +1.33 | +1.39 |
| 2018–19 | 25 | 1,985 | 81 | −0.93 | −1.19 | −1.45 |
| 2017–18 | 24 | 448 | 21 | −0.85 | −1.27 | −1.61 |
| 2016–17 | 23 | 1,642 | 81 | −0.81 | −2.25 | −2.01 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Hornets on September 22, 2026
Hawks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Jalen JohnsonFImpact +0.93Estimated minutes 2,308
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerGImpact +1.00Estimated minutes 2,279
- Dyson DanielsGImpact +2.79Estimated minutes 2,173
- Onyeka OkongwuF-CImpact +0.28Estimated minutes 2,035
- CJ McCollumGImpact −0.19Estimated minutes 1,955
- Luguentz DortGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,780
- Aaron WigginsGImpact −0.15Estimated minutes 1,406
- Jock LandaleCImpact −0.93Estimated minutes 1,315
- Kingston FlemingsGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 1,054
- Corey KispertFImpact −2.27Estimated minutes 965
›10 more on the roster
- Asa NewellFImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 528
- Mouhamed GueyeFImpact +0.15Estimated minutes 454
- Zuby EjioforFImpact −1.29Estimated minutes 360
- Jalen WilsonFImpact −2.03Estimated minutes 146
- Keshon GilbertGImpact −3.74Estimated minutes 119
- RayJ DennisGImpact −1.69Estimated minutes 83
- Cameron CorhenFImpact −2.47Estimated minutes 45
- Kobe JohnsonGImpact −1.66Estimated minutes 45
- Henri VeesaarCImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 0
- Isaac McKneelyGImpact −2.41Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).