Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2026–27 projection
Atlanta HawksGAge 28.1Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.00
−0.20+2.20ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.92Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,279
1,123–2,977Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
74
32–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
30.9
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
78%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.28Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.21From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
19–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 27 | 2,603 | 78 | +0.35 | +1.60 | +2.26 |
| 2024–25 | 26 | 2,073 | 82 | +0.68 | +0.61 | −0.13 |
| 2023–24 | 25 | 1,921 | 82 | −0.74 | +0.48 | +1.65 |
| 2022–23 | 24 | 884 | 59 | −1.36 | −1.88 | +0.15 |
| 2021–22 | 23 | 1,466 | 65 | −1.85 | −2.78 | −2.74 |
| 2020–21 | 22 | 1,007 | 46 | −2.84 | −1.25 | −1.54 |
| 2019–20 | 21 | 591 | 47 | −2.88 | −2.85 | −3.64 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Timberwolves on July 6, 2025
Hawks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Jalen JohnsonFImpact +0.93Estimated minutes 2,308
- Dyson DanielsGImpact +2.79Estimated minutes 2,173
- Onyeka OkongwuF-CImpact +0.28Estimated minutes 2,035
- CJ McCollumGImpact −0.19Estimated minutes 1,955
- Luguentz DortGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,780
- Aaron WigginsGImpact −0.15Estimated minutes 1,406
- Jock LandaleCImpact −0.93Estimated minutes 1,315
- Kingston FlemingsGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 1,054
- Corey KispertFImpact −2.27Estimated minutes 965
- Dorian Finney-SmithFImpact −0.66Estimated minutes 630
›10 more on the roster
- Asa NewellFImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 528
- Mouhamed GueyeFImpact +0.15Estimated minutes 454
- Zuby EjioforFImpact −1.29Estimated minutes 360
- Jalen WilsonFImpact −2.03Estimated minutes 146
- Keshon GilbertGImpact −3.74Estimated minutes 119
- RayJ DennisGImpact −1.69Estimated minutes 83
- Cameron CorhenFImpact −2.47Estimated minutes 45
- Kobe JohnsonGImpact −1.66Estimated minutes 45
- Henri VeesaarCImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 0
- Isaac McKneelyGImpact −2.41Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).