Kingston Flemings 2026–27 projection
Atlanta HawksGAge 19.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.67
−3.16−0.18ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.18Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,054
582–1,559Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
70
35–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
15.1
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
79%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.33Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.49From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 8
College
Houston
2025–26 · 37 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
8%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 2017–18 | 9 | −2.27 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 2017–18 | 5 | −3.33 |
| Rob Dillingham | 2024–25 | 8 | −2.74 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 8 in 2026
Hawks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Jalen JohnsonFImpact +0.93Estimated minutes 2,308
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerGImpact +1.00Estimated minutes 2,279
- Dyson DanielsGImpact +2.79Estimated minutes 2,173
- Onyeka OkongwuF-CImpact +0.28Estimated minutes 2,035
- CJ McCollumGImpact −0.19Estimated minutes 1,955
- Luguentz DortGImpact −0.77Estimated minutes 1,780
- Aaron WigginsGImpact −0.15Estimated minutes 1,406
- Jock LandaleCImpact −0.93Estimated minutes 1,315
- Corey KispertFImpact −2.27Estimated minutes 965
- Dorian Finney-SmithFImpact −0.66Estimated minutes 630
›10 more on the roster
- Asa NewellFImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 528
- Mouhamed GueyeFImpact +0.15Estimated minutes 454
- Zuby EjioforFImpact −1.29Estimated minutes 360
- Jalen WilsonFImpact −2.03Estimated minutes 146
- Keshon GilbertGImpact −3.74Estimated minutes 119
- RayJ DennisGImpact −1.69Estimated minutes 83
- Cameron CorhenFImpact −2.47Estimated minutes 45
- Kobe JohnsonGImpact −1.66Estimated minutes 45
- Henri VeesaarCImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 0
- Isaac McKneelyGImpact −2.41Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).