Morez Johnson Jr. 2026–27 projection
Dallas MavericksFAge 20.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.54
−3.11−0.03ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.18Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,653
892–2,256Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
72
36–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
23.0
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
77%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.15Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.37From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 9
College
Michigan
2025–26 · 40 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
10%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Leaf | 2017–18 | 18 | −3.65 |
| Bam Adebayo | 2017–18 | 14 | −0.99 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 2018–19 | 7 | −1.29 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 9 in 2026
Mavericks teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Cooper FlaggFImpact +1.16Estimated minutes 2,317
- Max ChristieGImpact −1.44Estimated minutes 2,028
- P.J. WashingtonFImpact −0.53Estimated minutes 1,746
- Naji MarshallFImpact −0.31Estimated minutes 1,739
- Kyrie IrvingGImpact +2.64Estimated minutes 1,686
- Zaccharie RisacherFImpact −1.45Estimated minutes 1,380
- Santi AldamaF-CImpact −0.41Estimated minutes 1,341
- Daniel GaffordF-CImpact +0.58Estimated minutes 1,245
- Tarik BiberovicFImpact −1.93Estimated minutes 927
- Sergio de LarreaGImpact −2.14Estimated minutes 862
›9 more on the roster
- Dereck Lively IICImpact +3.01Estimated minutes 820
- Marcus SasserGImpact −1.21Estimated minutes 720
- Caleb MartinFImpact −2.36Estimated minutes 378
- Moussa CisseCImpact −2.43Estimated minutes 319
- Jett HowardGImpact −2.48Estimated minutes 231
- John PoulakidasGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 99
- Tobi LawalFImpact −2.40Estimated minutes 99
- Seth LundyG-FImpact −2.51Estimated minutes 90
- Dwight PowellF-CImpact −1.75Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).