Tobias Harris 2026–27 projection
San Antonio SpursFAge 34.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
+0.71
−0.37+1.79ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.86Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,775
757–2,385Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
70
26–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.4
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
74%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+0.92Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+0.65From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
13–1414–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 33 | 1,746 | 63 | +1.47 | +1.86 | +1.09 |
| 2024–25 | 32 | 2,305 | 73 | +1.58 | +0.68 | +0.29 |
| 2023–24 | 31 | 2,368 | 70 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.47 |
| 2022–23 | 30 | 2,436 | 74 | +0.43 | +0.18 | +0.82 |
| 2021–22 | 29 | 2,543 | 73 | +1.32 | −0.20 | −0.09 |
| 2020–21 | 28 | 2,014 | 62 | +0.61 | +1.23 | +2.31 |
| 2019–20 | 27 | 2,469 | 72 | +1.15 | +1.43 | +1.43 |
| 2018–19 | 26 | 2,848 | 82 | −0.14 | +0.10 | +0.72 |
| 2017–18 | 25 | 2,668 | 80 | −0.29 | −0.27 | +0.22 |
| 2016–17 | 24 | 2,567 | 82 | −0.15 | +0.24 | +0.78 |
| 2015–16 | 23 | 2,513 | 76 | −1.93 | −0.55 | +0.63 |
| 2014–15 | 22 | 2,369 | 68 | −1.59 | −1.30 | −0.36 |
| 2013–14 | 21 | 1,850 | 61 | −2.02 | −1.34 | −1.12 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Signed July 6, 2026
Spurs teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Stephon CastleGImpact +1.28Estimated minutes 2,036
- Victor WembanyamaF-CImpact +6.25Estimated minutes 1,992
- De'Aaron FoxGImpact +1.55Estimated minutes 1,979
- Dylan HarperGImpact +2.40Estimated minutes 1,920
- Julian ChampagnieFImpact +1.15Estimated minutes 1,864
- Devin VassellG-FImpact +0.54Estimated minutes 1,827
- Keldon JohnsonF-GImpact −1.10Estimated minutes 1,455
- Luke KornetC-FImpact +0.30Estimated minutes 1,257
- Harrison BarnesFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,164
- Carter BryantFImpact −1.58Estimated minutes 1,104
›10 more on the roster
- Tarris Reed Jr.CImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 421
- Jordan McLaughlinGImpact −1.38Estimated minutes 281
- Ja'Kobi GillespieGImpact −2.01Estimated minutes 276
- David Jones GarciaGImpact −2.02Estimated minutes 128
- Maliq BrownFImpact −1.49Estimated minutes 112
- Jayden QuaintanceFImpact −2.21Estimated minutes 51
- Taelon PeterGImpact −3.31Estimated minutes 38
- Jon ElmoreGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 0
- Malik WilliamsCImpact −2.85Estimated minutes 0
- R.J. DavisGImpact −2.00Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).