Victor Wembanyama 2026–27 projection
San Antonio SpursF-CAge 22.7Current age in years, from his birth date.
+6.25
+4.88+7.61ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.07Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.5,499 career NBA minutes · 1,866 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,992
1,413–2,763Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
68
46–78Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
29.3
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
87%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+5.07Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+6.59From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
+8
+10
23–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21 | 1,866 | 64 | +6.02 | +7.80 | +8.74 |
| 2024–25 | 20 | 1,527 | 46 | +1.78 | +3.98 | +5.52 |
| 2023–24 | 19 | 2,106 | 71 | +1.41 | +4.27 | +2.99 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical right-shoulder deep vein thrombosis. Returned after 2025 clearance; documented 2026 offseason court participation.
- Injury date
- February 20, 2025
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 1 in 2023
Spurs teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Stephon CastleGImpact +1.28Estimated minutes 2,036
- De'Aaron FoxGImpact +1.55Estimated minutes 1,979
- Dylan HarperGImpact +2.40Estimated minutes 1,920
- Julian ChampagnieFImpact +1.15Estimated minutes 1,864
- Devin VassellG-FImpact +0.54Estimated minutes 1,827
- Tobias HarrisFImpact +0.71Estimated minutes 1,775
- Keldon JohnsonF-GImpact −1.10Estimated minutes 1,455
- Luke KornetC-FImpact +0.30Estimated minutes 1,257
- Harrison BarnesFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,164
- Carter BryantFImpact −1.58Estimated minutes 1,104
›10 more on the roster
- Tarris Reed Jr.CImpact −1.31Estimated minutes 421
- Jordan McLaughlinGImpact −1.38Estimated minutes 281
- Ja'Kobi GillespieGImpact −2.01Estimated minutes 276
- David Jones GarciaGImpact −2.02Estimated minutes 128
- Maliq BrownFImpact −1.49Estimated minutes 112
- Jayden QuaintanceFImpact −2.21Estimated minutes 51
- Taelon PeterGImpact −3.31Estimated minutes 38
- Jon ElmoreGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 0
- Malik WilliamsCImpact −2.85Estimated minutes 0
- R.J. DavisGImpact −2.00Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).