AJ Dybantsa 2026–27 projection
Washington WizardsFAge 19.6Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.32
−3.97+1.25ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±2.03Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
2,156
1,164–2,823Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
73
37–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
29.5
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
78%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.91Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.87From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 1
College
BYU
2025–26 · 35 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
26%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 2021–22 | 1 | −1.24 |
| Paolo Banchero | 2022–23 | 1 | −1.33 |
| D'Angelo Russell | 2015–16 | 2 | −2.87 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Drafted No. 1 in 2026
Wizards teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trae YoungGImpact +1.29Estimated minutes 2,201
- Kyshawn GeorgeFImpact −0.96Estimated minutes 1,827
- Alex SarrCImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,803
- Anthony DavisF-CImpact +2.01Estimated minutes 1,672
- Bilal CoulibalyGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 1,487
- Bub CarringtonGImpact −2.22Estimated minutes 1,443
- Tre JohnsonGImpact −1.45Estimated minutes 1,364
- Deandre AytonCImpact −1.04Estimated minutes 1,199
- Will RileyFImpact −3.26Estimated minutes 1,188
- Khris MiddletonFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,068
›10 more on the roster
- Justin ChampagnieG-FImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 834
- Tre MannGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 729
- Tristan VukcevicFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 272
- Felix OkparaCImpact −2.05Estimated minutes 114
- Chris LivingstonFImpact −2.54Estimated minutes 90
- Reece BeekmanGImpact −2.97Estimated minutes 90
- Anthony GillFImpact −4.10Estimated minutes 53
- Steve Settle IIIFImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
- Trevor KeelsGImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 45
- Jamir WatkinsFImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).