Deandre Ayton 2026–27 projection
Washington WizardsCAge 28.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
−1.04
−2.05−0.03ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.79Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,199
482–1,660Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
66
23–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
18.2
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
73%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−1.45Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−0.92From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
18–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 27 | 1,958 | 72 | −1.68 | −1.08 | −0.58 |
| 2024–25 | 26 | 1,206 | 40 | −1.05 | −0.41 | −0.73 |
| 2023–24 | 25 | 1,784 | 55 | −1.37 | +0.51 | +0.02 |
| 2022–23 | 24 | 2,035 | 67 | +0.11 | +0.23 | +0.87 |
| 2021–22 | 23 | 1,713 | 58 | −1.10 | +2.82 | +3.53 |
| 2020–21 | 22 | 2,115 | 69 | −0.29 | +1.99 | +2.44 |
| 2019–20 | 21 | 1,236 | 38 | −1.34 | +1.12 | +2.47 |
| 2018–19 | 20 | 2,183 | 71 | −3.79 | +0.04 | +0.77 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Lakers on July 7, 2026
Wizards teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trae YoungGImpact +1.29Estimated minutes 2,201
- AJ DybantsaFImpact −1.32Estimated minutes 2,156
- Kyshawn GeorgeFImpact −0.96Estimated minutes 1,827
- Alex SarrCImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,803
- Anthony DavisF-CImpact +2.01Estimated minutes 1,672
- Bilal CoulibalyGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 1,487
- Bub CarringtonGImpact −2.22Estimated minutes 1,443
- Tre JohnsonGImpact −1.45Estimated minutes 1,364
- Will RileyFImpact −3.26Estimated minutes 1,188
- Khris MiddletonFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,068
›10 more on the roster
- Justin ChampagnieG-FImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 834
- Tre MannGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 729
- Tristan VukcevicFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 272
- Felix OkparaCImpact −2.05Estimated minutes 114
- Chris LivingstonFImpact −2.54Estimated minutes 90
- Reece BeekmanGImpact −2.97Estimated minutes 90
- Anthony GillFImpact −4.10Estimated minutes 53
- Steve Settle IIIFImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
- Trevor KeelsGImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 45
- Jamir WatkinsFImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).