Bub Carrington 2026–27 projection
Washington WizardsGAge 21.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.22
−3.37−1.03ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.90Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,443
805–1,905Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
77
40–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
18.7
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
78%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4.13Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−1.68From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−8
−6
−4
−2
Avg
+2
24–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 20 | 2,271 | 82 | −5.12 | −2.54 | −4.64 |
| 2024–25 | 19 | 2,458 | 82 | −7.27 | −2.10 | −4.67 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Trail Blazers on July 6, 2024
Wizards teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trae YoungGImpact +1.29Estimated minutes 2,201
- AJ DybantsaFImpact −1.32Estimated minutes 2,156
- Kyshawn GeorgeFImpact −0.96Estimated minutes 1,827
- Alex SarrCImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,803
- Anthony DavisF-CImpact +2.01Estimated minutes 1,672
- Bilal CoulibalyGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 1,487
- Tre JohnsonGImpact −1.45Estimated minutes 1,364
- Deandre AytonCImpact −1.04Estimated minutes 1,199
- Will RileyFImpact −3.26Estimated minutes 1,188
- Khris MiddletonFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,068
›10 more on the roster
- Justin ChampagnieG-FImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 834
- Tre MannGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 729
- Tristan VukcevicFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 272
- Felix OkparaCImpact −2.05Estimated minutes 114
- Chris LivingstonFImpact −2.54Estimated minutes 90
- Reece BeekmanGImpact −2.97Estimated minutes 90
- Anthony GillFImpact −4.10Estimated minutes 53
- Steve Settle IIIFImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
- Trevor KeelsGImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 45
- Jamir WatkinsFImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).