Felix Okpara 2026–27 projection
Washington WizardsCAge 22.4Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.05
−3.35−0.76ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.03Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
114
0–285Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
20
0–42Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
5.7
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
64%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.16Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−2.02From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 46
College
Tennessee
2025–26 · 35 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
2%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jericho Sims | 2021–22 | 58 | −1.97 |
| Trey Jemison | 2023–24 | – | −3.43 |
| Marshall Plumlee | 2016–17 | – | −2.18 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Magic on June 24, 2026
Wizards teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Trae YoungGImpact +1.29Estimated minutes 2,201
- AJ DybantsaFImpact −1.32Estimated minutes 2,156
- Kyshawn GeorgeFImpact −0.96Estimated minutes 1,827
- Alex SarrCImpact −0.86Estimated minutes 1,803
- Anthony DavisF-CImpact +2.01Estimated minutes 1,672
- Bilal CoulibalyGImpact −1.63Estimated minutes 1,487
- Bub CarringtonGImpact −2.22Estimated minutes 1,443
- Tre JohnsonGImpact −1.45Estimated minutes 1,364
- Deandre AytonCImpact −1.04Estimated minutes 1,199
- Will RileyFImpact −3.26Estimated minutes 1,188
›10 more on the roster
- Khris MiddletonFImpact −1.09Estimated minutes 1,068
- Justin ChampagnieG-FImpact −0.75Estimated minutes 834
- Tre MannGImpact −1.67Estimated minutes 729
- Tristan VukcevicFImpact −1.74Estimated minutes 272
- Chris LivingstonFImpact −2.54Estimated minutes 90
- Reece BeekmanGImpact −2.97Estimated minutes 90
- Anthony GillFImpact −4.10Estimated minutes 53
- Steve Settle IIIFImpact −1.94Estimated minutes 45
- Trevor KeelsGImpact −0.26Estimated minutes 45
- Jamir WatkinsFImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).