Ajay Mitchell 2026–27 projection
Oklahoma City ThunderGAge 24.2Current age in years, from his birth date.
+2.47
+1.10+3.85ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.08Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.2,069 career NBA minutes · 1,472 minutes last season.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,781
802–2,399Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
69
27–82Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
25.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
75%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+3.85Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+2.08From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
24–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 23 | 1,472 | 57 | +5.37 | +3.10 | +2.28 |
| 2024–25 | 22 | 597 | 36 | −1.37 | −1.94 | −1.76 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Knicks on June 27, 2024
Thunder teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGImpact +6.04Estimated minutes 2,287
- Jalen WilliamsG-FImpact +2.80Estimated minutes 2,059
- Cason WallaceGImpact +1.91Estimated minutes 2,026
- Chet HolmgrenC-FImpact +4.17Estimated minutes 1,863
- Isaiah HartensteinC-FImpact +2.48Estimated minutes 1,576
- Jared McCainGImpact −0.69Estimated minutes 1,400
- Jaylin WilliamsFImpact +0.35Estimated minutes 1,314
- Alex CarusoGImpact +1.22Estimated minutes 1,069
- Kenrich WilliamsG-FImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 821
- Bennett StirtzGImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 816
›10 more on the roster
- Nikola TopićGImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 680
- Aday MaraCImpact −1.17Estimated minutes 643
- Thomas SorberCImpact −2.42Estimated minutes 570
- Brooks BarnhizerGImpact −3.99Estimated minutes 449
- Otega OwehGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 164
- Josh DixImpact −2.50Estimated minutes 162
- Andrew HolifieldImpact −2.57Estimated minutes 0
- Christoph TillyImpact −2.07Estimated minutes 0
- Robert McCray VGImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 0
- Zhaire SmithGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).