Alex Caruso 2026–27 projection
Oklahoma City ThunderGAge 32.6Current age in years, from his birth date.
+1.22
−0.03+2.47ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.95Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,069
303–1,587Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
60
15–81Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
17.7
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
71%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+1.70Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+1.08From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−3
−2
−1
Avg
+1
+2
+3
+4
17–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 31 | 1,021 | 56 | +3.22 | +2.62 | +1.04 |
| 2024–25 | 30 | 1,041 | 54 | +2.45 | +1.26 | +3.08 |
| 2023–24 | 29 | 2,040 | 71 | +0.80 | +1.39 | +1.63 |
| 2022–23 | 28 | 1,574 | 67 | +2.45 | +0.96 | +1.62 |
| 2021–22 | 27 | 1,147 | 41 | +1.59 | +0.72 | −0.22 |
| 2020–21 | 26 | 1,216 | 58 | +0.67 | +0.89 | +0.94 |
| 2019–20 | 25 | 1,175 | 64 | +1.14 | +1.00 | +0.56 |
| 2018–19 | 24 | 531 | 25 | −2.18 | −1.06 | −0.40 |
| 2017–18 | 23 | 562 | 37 | −2.67 | −2.43 | −2.58 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Bulls on June 21, 2024
Thunder teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGImpact +6.04Estimated minutes 2,287
- Jalen WilliamsG-FImpact +2.80Estimated minutes 2,059
- Cason WallaceGImpact +1.91Estimated minutes 2,026
- Chet HolmgrenC-FImpact +4.17Estimated minutes 1,863
- Ajay MitchellGImpact +2.47Estimated minutes 1,781
- Isaiah HartensteinC-FImpact +2.48Estimated minutes 1,576
- Jared McCainGImpact −0.69Estimated minutes 1,400
- Jaylin WilliamsFImpact +0.35Estimated minutes 1,314
- Kenrich WilliamsG-FImpact −0.88Estimated minutes 821
- Bennett StirtzGImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 816
›10 more on the roster
- Nikola TopićGImpact −2.62Estimated minutes 680
- Aday MaraCImpact −1.17Estimated minutes 643
- Thomas SorberCImpact −2.42Estimated minutes 570
- Brooks BarnhizerGImpact −3.99Estimated minutes 449
- Otega OwehGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 164
- Josh DixImpact −2.50Estimated minutes 162
- Andrew HolifieldImpact −2.57Estimated minutes 0
- Christoph TillyImpact −2.07Estimated minutes 0
- Robert McCray VGImpact −2.11Estimated minutes 0
- Zhaire SmithGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).