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Andrew Wiggins 2026–27 projection

Miami HeatFAge 31.6

−1.30
ImpactPer 100 possessions0 = league average
−2.33−0.29
Middle 80% of outcomes · ±0.80Low error bars

A narrower Impact range than most, backed by a large recent NBA sample at a prime age.27,952 career NBA minutes · 2,063 minutes last season.

Playing time

Est. minutes
1,958
790–2,646
Games
69
24–82
Minutes a game
28.2
Availability
74%

Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.

Where Impact comes from

JAYLEN
−1.66
Our player impact rating
Expected EPM
−1.19
From Dunks & Threes

Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.

Rating history

JAYLENExpected EPMActual EPM2026–27 projection
›Season by season
SeasonAgeMinGamesJAYLENExp. EPMActual EPM
2025–26302,06368−1.18−0.81+0.31
2024–25291,84360−2.08−0.87+0.82
2023–24281,92071−2.68−0.59−1.94
2022–23271,19037−0.12+0.93+1.24
2021–22262,33073−0.12+0.78+1.10
2020–21252,36471−2.03−0.47+0.50
2019–20241,85954−0.93−1.15−0.44
2018–19232,54373−2.25−1.68−1.47
2017–18222,97982−1.05−1.40−1.43
2016–17213,04882−0.25−1.49−1.20
2015–16202,84581−1.74−1.74−0.92
2014–15192,96982−3.71−2.79−2.45

How he joined

Traded from the Warriors on February 6, 2025

Heat teammates

  1. PlayerImpactMin
  2. Bam AdebayoC-FImpact +3.04Estimated minutes 2,180
  3. Davion MitchellGImpact −0.10Estimated minutes 2,000
  4. Giannis AntetokounmpoFImpact +5.13Estimated minutes 1,987
  5. Pelle LarssonGImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 1,833
  6. Tim Hardaway Jr.GImpact −1.70Estimated minutes 1,759
  7. Bobby Portis Jr.FImpact −1.13Estimated minutes 1,553
  8. Klay ThompsonGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 1,415
  9. Simone FontecchioFImpact −1.26Estimated minutes 1,136
  10. Dru SmithGImpact −1.33Estimated minutes 1,090
  11. Nikola JovićFImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 973
›10 more on the roster
  1. Nick RichardsCImpact −2.99Estimated minutes 538
  2. Ryan ConwellGImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 360
  3. Myron GardnerFImpact −0.13Estimated minutes 321
  4. Keshad JohnsonFImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 154
  5. Tre DonaldsonGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 149
  6. Vladislav GoldinCImpact −3.42Estimated minutes 142
  7. Lester QuinonesGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 88
  8. Ian SchieffelinFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 44
  9. Bez MbengGImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 0
  10. J'Vonne HadleyFImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0

Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).