Giannis Antetokounmpo 2026–27 projection
Miami HeatFAge 31.8Current age in years, from his birth date.
+5.13
+3.89+6.36ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±0.97Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
1,987
1,371–2,716Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
67
41–77Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
29.8
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
86%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
+2.87Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
+5.76From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rating historyHis past seasons in the two ratings behind Impact, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−4
−2
Avg
+2
+4
+6
+8
+10
13–1414–1515–1616–1717–1818–1919–2020–2121–2222–2323–2424–2525–2626–27›Season by season
| Season | Age | Min | Games | JAYLEN | Exp. EPM | Actual EPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 30 | 1,039 | 36 | +3.48 | +6.65 | +7.36 |
| 2024–25 | 29 | 2,289 | 67 | +3.54 | +6.98 | +6.15 |
| 2023–24 | 28 | 2,567 | 73 | +5.18 | +5.62 | +5.93 |
| 2022–23 | 27 | 2,024 | 63 | +4.07 | +5.70 | +5.78 |
| 2021–22 | 26 | 2,204 | 67 | +3.99 | +6.89 | +6.71 |
| 2020–21 | 25 | 2,013 | 61 | +5.90 | +6.04 | +5.12 |
| 2019–20 | 24 | 1,917 | 63 | +5.60 | +7.21 | +8.65 |
| 2018–19 | 23 | 2,358 | 72 | +5.15 | +5.96 | +6.76 |
| 2017–18 | 22 | 2,756 | 75 | +2.23 | +3.58 | +4.85 |
| 2016–17 | 21 | 2,845 | 80 | +0.89 | +3.07 | +4.67 |
| 2015–16 | 20 | 2,823 | 80 | −0.09 | +1.39 | +1.10 |
| 2014–15 | 19 | 2,541 | 81 | −2.01 | −0.12 | +0.29 |
| 2013–14 | 18 | 1,897 | 77 | −0.84 | −1.90 | −1.12 |
Injury flagFlagged in our injury review. Hover the flag for the injury and its current status.
Historical right-calf strain; left-knee hyperextension and bone bruise. Preparing for Miami camp; no fresh disabling injury verified.
- Injury date
- March 2026
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Traded from the Bucks on July 6, 2026
Heat teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Bam AdebayoC-FImpact +3.04Estimated minutes 2,180
- Davion MitchellGImpact −0.10Estimated minutes 2,000
- Andrew WigginsFImpact −1.30Estimated minutes 1,958
- Pelle LarssonGImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 1,833
- Tim Hardaway Jr.GImpact −1.70Estimated minutes 1,759
- Bobby Portis Jr.FImpact −1.13Estimated minutes 1,553
- Klay ThompsonGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 1,415
- Simone FontecchioFImpact −1.26Estimated minutes 1,136
- Dru SmithGImpact −1.33Estimated minutes 1,090
- Nikola JovićFImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 973
›10 more on the roster
- Nick RichardsCImpact −2.99Estimated minutes 538
- Ryan ConwellGImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 360
- Myron GardnerFImpact −0.13Estimated minutes 321
- Keshad JohnsonFImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 154
- Tre DonaldsonGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 149
- Vladislav GoldinCImpact −3.42Estimated minutes 142
- Lester QuinonesGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 88
- Ian SchieffelinFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 44
- Bez MbengGImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 0
- J'Vonne HadleyFImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).