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Nick Richards 2026–27 projection

Miami HeatCAge 28.8

−2.99
ImpactPer 100 possessions0 = league average
−4.17−1.85
Middle 80% of outcomes · ±0.91

Playing time

Est. minutes
538
66–903
Games
47
5–66
Minutes a game
11.4
Availability
68%

Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.

Where Impact comes from

JAYLEN
−2.25
Our player impact rating
Expected EPM
−3.20
From Dunks & Threes

Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.

Rating history

JAYLENExpected EPMActual EPM2026–27 projection
›Season by season
SeasonAgeMinGamesJAYLENExp. EPMActual EPM
2025–262770148−2.73−3.97−6.21
2024–25261,25657−2.08−2.75−2.72
2023–24251,75967−2.30−2.58−2.03
2022–23241,21765−1.21−2.27−1.80
2021–222336750−1.99−3.76−2.82
2020–21226318–−4.70−3.11

How he joined

Signed August 27, 2026

Heat teammates

  1. PlayerImpactMin
  2. Bam AdebayoC-FImpact +3.04Estimated minutes 2,180
  3. Davion MitchellGImpact −0.10Estimated minutes 2,000
  4. Giannis AntetokounmpoFImpact +5.13Estimated minutes 1,987
  5. Andrew WigginsFImpact −1.30Estimated minutes 1,958
  6. Pelle LarssonGImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 1,833
  7. Tim Hardaway Jr.GImpact −1.70Estimated minutes 1,759
  8. Bobby Portis Jr.FImpact −1.13Estimated minutes 1,553
  9. Klay ThompsonGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 1,415
  10. Simone FontecchioFImpact −1.26Estimated minutes 1,136
  11. Dru SmithGImpact −1.33Estimated minutes 1,090
›10 more on the roster
  1. Nikola JovićFImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 973
  2. Ryan ConwellGImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 360
  3. Myron GardnerFImpact −0.13Estimated minutes 321
  4. Keshad JohnsonFImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 154
  5. Tre DonaldsonGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 149
  6. Vladislav GoldinCImpact −3.42Estimated minutes 142
  7. Lester QuinonesGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 88
  8. Ian SchieffelinFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 44
  9. Bez MbengGImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 0
  10. J'Vonne HadleyFImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0

Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).