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Dru Smith 2026–27 projection

Miami HeatGAge 28.7

−1.33
ImpactPer 100 possessions0 = league average
−2.53−0.12
Middle 80% of outcomes · ±0.95

Playing time

Est. minutes
1,090
454–1,566
Games
66
24–82
Minutes a game
16.5
Availability
75%

Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.

Where Impact comes from

JAYLEN
−1.53
Our player impact rating
Expected EPM
−1.28
From Dunks & Threes

Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.

Rating history

JAYLENExpected EPMActual EPM2026–27 projection
›Season by season
SeasonAgeMinGamesJAYLENExp. EPMActual EPM
2025–26271,14170−1.75−0.70−0.12
2024–252626814+0.98−2.26−0.16
2023–24251319−1.45−2.18−2.38
2022–232415815−3.16−2.68−2.61

How he joined

Signed July 1, 2023

Heat teammates

  1. PlayerImpactMin
  2. Bam AdebayoC-FImpact +3.04Estimated minutes 2,180
  3. Davion MitchellGImpact −0.10Estimated minutes 2,000
  4. Giannis AntetokounmpoFImpact +5.13Estimated minutes 1,987
  5. Andrew WigginsFImpact −1.30Estimated minutes 1,958
  6. Pelle LarssonGImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 1,833
  7. Tim Hardaway Jr.GImpact −1.70Estimated minutes 1,759
  8. Bobby Portis Jr.FImpact −1.13Estimated minutes 1,553
  9. Klay ThompsonGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 1,415
  10. Simone FontecchioFImpact −1.26Estimated minutes 1,136
  11. Nikola JovićFImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 973
›10 more on the roster
  1. Nick RichardsCImpact −2.99Estimated minutes 538
  2. Ryan ConwellGImpact −2.30Estimated minutes 360
  3. Myron GardnerFImpact −0.13Estimated minutes 321
  4. Keshad JohnsonFImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 154
  5. Tre DonaldsonGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 149
  6. Vladislav GoldinCImpact −3.42Estimated minutes 142
  7. Lester QuinonesGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 88
  8. Ian SchieffelinFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 44
  9. Bez MbengGImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 0
  10. J'Vonne HadleyFImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0

Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).