Ryan Conwell 2026–27 projection
Miami HeatGAge 22.3Current age in years, from his birth date.
−2.30
−3.63−0.99ImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.Per 100 possessions0 = league average
Middle 80%Middle 80% of his possible Impact this season, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player. of outcomes · ±1.03Spread of his possible Impact, one standard deviation. Smaller means we are more sure.High error barsA wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.
A wider Impact range than most players in projected rotations.Rookie: no NBA minutes yet.
Playing time
Est. minutesEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
360
1–726Middle 80% of simulated season minutes, including health, role and competition for playing time.
GamesExpected games played, allowing for health and role, to the nearest game.
34
0–56Middle 80% of simulated games played.
Minutes a gameEstimated minutes per game played.
10.6
AvailabilityChance of playing at least 75% of estimated minutes. Includes health, role and rotation competition; not the chance of staying healthy.
67%
Small numbers under each total are the middle 80% of outcomes.
Where Impact comes from
JAYLENOur player impact rating, in points per 100 possessions versus an average player.
−2.52Our player impact rating
Expected EPMDunks & Threes’ estimate of current impact from career data, per 100 possessions versus average.
−2.24From Dunks & Threes
Impact blends two ratings: 22% JAYLEN and 78% Expected EPM, each aged forward a year.
Rookie estimate
No NBA games yet, so his estimate comes from his draft slot, age and college production.
Draft pickOverall pick in the NBA draft. Blank means undrafted.
No. 37
College
Louisville
2025–26 · 34 games
Above-average chanceModeled chance this rookie rates above an average NBA player this season.
1%
Similar past prospectsPast prospects with a similar draft slot, age and college production, and their rookie-year Impact. Examples, not predictions.
| Player | Rookie year | Pick | ImpactHis Impact in his rookie season, per 100 possessions versus an average player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Washington Jr. | 2021–22 | – | −3.28 |
| AJ Green | 2022–23 | – | −2.05 |
| Quentin Grimes | 2021–22 | 25 | −1.84 |
How he joinedHow the player joined his current team, from the official roster.
Draft rights acquired from the Thunder on June 24, 2026
Heat teammates
- PlayerImpactHow many points per 100 possessions he adds compared with an average player. 0 is average.MinEstimated regular-season minutes, allowing for health, role and competition for playing time.
- Bam AdebayoC-FImpact +3.04Estimated minutes 2,180
- Davion MitchellGImpact −0.10Estimated minutes 2,000
- Giannis AntetokounmpoFImpact +5.13Estimated minutes 1,987
- Andrew WigginsFImpact −1.30Estimated minutes 1,958
- Pelle LarssonGImpact −0.12Estimated minutes 1,833
- Tim Hardaway Jr.GImpact −1.70Estimated minutes 1,759
- Bobby Portis Jr.FImpact −1.13Estimated minutes 1,553
- Klay ThompsonGImpact −1.54Estimated minutes 1,415
- Simone FontecchioFImpact −1.26Estimated minutes 1,136
- Dru SmithGImpact −1.33Estimated minutes 1,090
›10 more on the roster
- Nikola JovićFImpact −0.47Estimated minutes 973
- Nick RichardsCImpact −2.99Estimated minutes 538
- Myron GardnerFImpact −0.13Estimated minutes 321
- Keshad JohnsonFImpact −1.92Estimated minutes 154
- Tre DonaldsonGImpact −2.26Estimated minutes 149
- Vladislav GoldinCImpact −3.42Estimated minutes 142
- Lester QuinonesGImpact −1.50Estimated minutes 88
- Ian SchieffelinFImpact −1.68Estimated minutes 44
- Bez MbengGImpact −3.21Estimated minutes 0
- J'Vonne HadleyFImpact −1.96Estimated minutes 0
Ranges assume he plays. Impact is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player (0 = average).